气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Energy system transition pathways to meet the global electricity demand for ambitious climate targets and cost competitiveness

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.120401
	Energy system transition pathways to meet the global electricity demand for ambitious climate targets and cost competitiveness
	Aghahosseini, Arman; Solomon, A. A.; Breyer, Christian; Pregger, Thomas; Simon, Sonja; Strachan, Peter; Jager-Waldau, Arnulf
发表日期	2023
ISSN	0306-2619
EISSN	1872-9118
卷号	331
英文摘要	This study presents a novel energy system modelling approach for the analysis and comparison of global energy transition pathways for the decarbonisation of the electricity sector. The results of the International Energy Agency (IEA), and the Teske/DLR scenarios are each reproduced. Additionally, five new energy transition tra-jectories, called LUT, are presented. The research examines the feasibility of each scenario across nine major regions in 5-year intervals, from 2015 to 2050, under a uniform modelling environment with identical technical and financial assumptions. The main differences between the energy transition paths are identified across: (1) the average electricity generation costs; (2) energy diversity; (3) system flexibility; (4) energy security; and, (5) transition dynamics. All LUT and Teske/DLR scenarios are transitioned to zero CO2 emissions and a 100% renewable energy system by 2050 at the latest. Results reveal that the LUT scenarios are the least-cost pathways, while the Teske/DLR scenarios are centred around energy diversity with slightly higher LCOE of around 10-20%. The IEA shares similarities with the Teske/DLR scenarios in terms of energy diversity yet depends on the continued use of fossil fuels with carbon capture and storage, and nuclear power. The IEA scenario based on current governmental policies presents a worst-case situation regarding CO2 emissions reduction, climate change and overall system costs.
英文关键词	Energy scenarios; Transition pathways; Decarbonisation; 100% renewable energy; ZeroCO2 emissions; Energy system model
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS类目	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号	WOS:000993751500001
来源期刊	APPLIED ENERGY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280788
作者单位	Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology LUT; Helmholtz Association; German Aerospace Centre (DLR); University of Aberdeen; Robert Gordon University; European Commission Joint Research Centre; EC JRC ISPRA Site
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Aghahosseini, Arman,Solomon, A. A.,Breyer, Christian,et al. Energy system transition pathways to meet the global electricity demand for ambitious climate targets and cost competitiveness[J],2023,331.
APA	Aghahosseini, Arman.,Solomon, A. A..,Breyer, Christian.,Pregger, Thomas.,Simon, Sonja.,...&Jager-Waldau, Arnulf.(2023).Energy system transition pathways to meet the global electricity demand for ambitious climate targets and cost competitiveness.APPLIED ENERGY,331.
MLA	Aghahosseini, Arman,et al."Energy system transition pathways to meet the global electricity demand for ambitious climate targets and cost competitiveness".APPLIED ENERGY 331(2023).