气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk management

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41586-022-04917-5
	The challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk management
	Kreibich, Heidi; Van Loon, Anne F.; Schroeter, Kai; Ward, Philip J.; Mazzoleni, Maurizio; Sairam, Nivedita; Abeshu, Guta Wakbulcho; Agafonova, Svetlana; AghaKouchak, Amir; Aksoy, Hafzullah; Alvarez-Garreton, Camila; Aznar, Blanca; Balkhi, Laila; Barendrecht, Marlies H.; Biancamaria, Sylvain; Bos-Burgering, Liduin; Bradley, Chris; Budiyono, Yus; Buytaert, Wouter; Capewell, Lucinda; Carlson, Hayley; Cavus, Yonca; Couasnon, Anais; Coxon, Gemma; Daliakopoulos, Ioannis; de Ruiter, Marleen C.; Delus, Claire; Erfurt, Mathilde; Esposito, Giuseppe; Francois, Didier; Frappart, Frederic; Freer, Jim; Frolova, Natalia; Gain, Animesh K.; Grillakis, Manolis; Grima, Jordi Oriol; Guzman, Diego A.; Huning, Laurie S.; Ionita, Monica; Kharlamov, Maxim; Khoi, Dao Nguyen; Kieboom, Natalie; Kireeva, Maria; Koutroulis, Aristeidis; Lavado-Casimiro, Waldo; Li, Hong-Yi; LLasat, Maria Carmen; Macdonald, David; Mard, Johanna; Mathew-Richards, Hannah; McKenzie, Andrew; Mejia, Alfonso; Mendiondo, Eduardo Mario; Mens, Marjolein; Mobini, Shifteh; Mohor, Guilherme Samprogna; Nagavciuc, Viorica; Thanh Ngo-Duc; Thi Thao Nguyen Huynh; Pham Thi Thao Nhi; Petrucci, Olga; Hong Quan Nguyen; Quintana-Segui, Pere; Razavi, Saman; Ridolfi, Elena; Riegel, Jannik; Sadik, Md Shibly; Savelli, Elisa; Sazonov, Alexey; Sharma, Sanjib; Sorensen, Johanna; Souza, Felipe Augusto Arguello; Stahl, Kerstin; Steinhausen, Max; Stoelzle, Michael; Szalinska, Wiwiana; Tang, Qiuhong; Tian, Fuqiang; Tokarczyk, Tamara; Tovar, Carolina; Tran, Thi Van Thu; Van Huijgevoort, Marjolein H. J.; van Vliet, Michelle T. H.; Vorogushyn, Sergiy; Wagener, Thorsten; Wang, Yueling; Wendt, Doris E.; Wickham, Elliot; Yang, Long; Zambrano-Bigiarini, Mauricio; Bloschl, Gunter; Di Baldassarre, Giuliano
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0028-0836
EISSN	1476-4687
起始页码	80
结束页码	+
卷号	608 期号:7921
英文摘要	Risk management has reduced vulnerability to floods and droughts globally(1,2), yet their impacts are still increasing(3). An improved understanding of the causes of changing impacts is therefore needed, but has been hampered by a lack of empirical data(4,5). On the basis of a global dataset of 45 pairs of events that occurred within the same area, we show that risk management generally reduces the impacts of floods and droughts but faces difficulties in reducing the impacts of unprecedented events of a magnitude not previously experienced. If the second event was much more hazardous than the first, its impact was almost always higher. This is because management was not designed to deal with such extreme events: for example, they exceeded the design levels of levees and reservoirs. In two success stories, the impact of the second, more hazardous, event was lower, as a result of improved risk management governance and high investment in integrated management. The observed difficulty of managing unprecedented events is alarming, given that more extreme hydrological events are projected owing to climate change(3).
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS类目	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号	WOS:000835655400012
来源期刊	NATURE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280729
作者单位	Helmholtz Association; Helmholtz-Center Potsdam GFZ German Research Center for Geosciences; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Braunschweig University of Technology; University of Houston System; University of Houston; Lomonosov Moscow State University; University of California System; University of California Irvine; Istanbul Technical University; Universidad de La Frontera; University of Saskatchewan; Global Institute for Water Security; Universite de Toulouse; Universite Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD); Laboratoire d'Etudes en Geophysique et oceanographie spatiales; Deltares; University of Birmingham; National Research & Innovation Agency of Indonesia (BRIN); Agency for the Assessment & Application of Technology (BPPT); Imperial College London; Beykent University; Istanbul Technical University; University of Freiburg; University of Bristol; University of Bristol; Hellenic Mediterranean University; Universite...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kreibich, Heidi,Van Loon, Anne F.,Schroeter, Kai,et al. The challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk management[J],2022,608(7921).
APA	Kreibich, Heidi.,Van Loon, Anne F..,Schroeter, Kai.,Ward, Philip J..,Mazzoleni, Maurizio.,...&Di Baldassarre, Giuliano.(2022).The challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk management.NATURE,608(7921).
MLA	Kreibich, Heidi,et al."The challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk management".NATURE 608.7921(2022).