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DOI10.1016/j.technovation.2021.102255
Extreme weather events risk to crop-production and the adaptation of innovative management strategies to mitigate the risk: A retrospective survey of rural Punjab, Pakistan
Elahi, Ehsan; Khalid, Zainab; Tauni, Muhammad Zubair; Zhang, Hongxia; Xing Lirong
发表日期2022
ISSN0166-4972
EISSN1879-2383
卷号117
英文摘要Evaluation of climate-induced crop damages is imperative to formulate innovative technologies and management strategies to reduce the vulnerability of farms and agriculture. Based on a survey of 1232 wheat growers from Pakistan, conducted in April and May of 2019, the study estimates the production risk of wheat farms to weather shocks and the effectiveness of physical, non-physical, and innovative management strategies for reducing crop damages. Parametric and non-parametric econometric techniques were applied to approach study objectives. The survey revealed that the adverse effects of extreme weather events on the damages to wheat crop were more significant with the rise of severe weather the closer to harvest time such damages occurred. The results of the propensity score matching (PSM) method found wheat loss when the crop experienced a severe intensity of thunderstorms, windstorms, and hailstorms. The parametric analysis confirmed that with a one-unit increase in the severity of thunderstorms, windstorms, and hailstorms the wheat yield decreased. Surprisingly, even if thunderstorms and hailstorms were rated moderate or low in severity, a significant reduction in wheat yield was found. The Mann-Whitney (MW) test showed that adaptive measures significantly reduced the amount of wheat damage. Particularly, the PSM method confirmed that the adoption of strategies such as watercourse availability, maintenance of watercourse, availability of canal/drain, sowing of stiff-stem wheat variety, plantation of a shelterbelt, and adjustment in irrigation schedule, significantly reduced wheat loss. Furthermore, education, farming experience, family size, cropping area, and access to weather forecast information significantly affected the adaptation of innovative management strategies.
英文关键词Extreme weather events; Climate change; Crop yield; Adaptation Innovative management strategies; Propensity score matching method; Punjab; Pakistan
语种英语
WOS研究方向Engineering, Industrial ; Management ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS类目Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) ; Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
WOS记录号WOS:000913061200003
来源期刊TECHNOVATION
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280655
作者单位Shandong University of Technology; University of Engineering & Technology Lahore
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GB/T 7714
Elahi, Ehsan,Khalid, Zainab,Tauni, Muhammad Zubair,et al. Extreme weather events risk to crop-production and the adaptation of innovative management strategies to mitigate the risk: A retrospective survey of rural Punjab, Pakistan[J],2022,117.
APA Elahi, Ehsan,Khalid, Zainab,Tauni, Muhammad Zubair,Zhang, Hongxia,&Xing Lirong.(2022).Extreme weather events risk to crop-production and the adaptation of innovative management strategies to mitigate the risk: A retrospective survey of rural Punjab, Pakistan.TECHNOVATION,117.
MLA Elahi, Ehsan,et al."Extreme weather events risk to crop-production and the adaptation of innovative management strategies to mitigate the risk: A retrospective survey of rural Punjab, Pakistan".TECHNOVATION 117(2022).
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