气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The Chinese Carbon-Neutral Goal: Challenges and Prospects

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s00376-021-1313-6
	The Chinese Carbon-Neutral Goal: Challenges and Prospects
	Zeng, Ning; Jiang, Kejun; Han, Pengfei; Hausfather, Zeke; Cao, Junji; Kirk-Davidoff, Daniel; Ali, Shaukat; Zhou, Sheng
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0256-1530
EISSN	1861-9533
起始页码	1229
结束页码	1238
卷号	39 期号:8
英文摘要	On 22 September 2020, within the backdrop of the COVID-19 global pandemic, China announced its climate goal for peak carbon emissions before 2030 and to reach carbon neutrality before 2060. This carbon-neutral goal is generally considered to cover all anthropogenic greenhouse gases. The planning effort is now in full swing in China, but the pathway to decarbonization is unclear. The needed transition towards non-fossil fuel energy and its impact on China and the world may be more profound than its reform and development over the past 40 years, but the challenges are enormous. Analysis of four representative scenarios shows significant differences in achieving the carbon-neutral goal, particularly the contribution of non-fossil fuel energy sources. The high target values for nuclear, wind, and bioenergy have approached their corresponding resource limitations, with solar energy being the exception, suggesting solar's critical role. We also found that the near-term policies that allow for a gradual transition, followed by more drastic changes after 2030, can eventually reach the carbon-neutral goal and lead to less of a reduction in cumulative emissions, thus inconsistent with the IPCC 1.5 degrees C scenario. The challenges and prospects are discussed in the historical context of China's socio-economic reform, globalization, international collaboration, and development.
英文关键词	carbon neutral; carbon dioxide reductions; energy system transformation; distributed energy system; model projections
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号	WOS:000746762600001
来源期刊	ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280643
作者单位	University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park; University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS; Tsinghua University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zeng, Ning,Jiang, Kejun,Han, Pengfei,et al. The Chinese Carbon-Neutral Goal: Challenges and Prospects[J],2022,39(8).
APA	Zeng, Ning.,Jiang, Kejun.,Han, Pengfei.,Hausfather, Zeke.,Cao, Junji.,...&Zhou, Sheng.(2022).The Chinese Carbon-Neutral Goal: Challenges and Prospects.ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,39(8).
MLA	Zeng, Ning,et al."The Chinese Carbon-Neutral Goal: Challenges and Prospects".ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 39.8(2022).