气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): An evaluation of ERA5 precipitation for climate monitoring

CCPortal

DOI	10.1002/qj.4351
	An evaluation of ERA5 precipitation for climate monitoring
	Lavers, David A.; Simmons, Adrian; Vamborg, Freja; Rodwell, Mark J.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0035-9009
EISSN	1477-870X
起始页码	3152
结束页码	3165
卷号	148 期号:748
英文摘要	A key aim of climate monitoring is to place the current conditions of climate variables, such as surface air temperature and precipitation, in their historical context. In Europe, a leading provider of this information is the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), which is implemented by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) on behalf of the European Commission. To undertake this activity in close-to-real time, C3S predominantly uses the ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis, and ERA5 precipitation is widely used as a proxy for observed precipitation for hydrological monitoring. However, for there to be confidence in the ERA5 data, it is essential to evaluate its ability to capture observed precipitation. In this study, we therefore evaluate ERA5 precipitation against observations globally to inform C3S monitoring activities and the broader climate science community. Using 24 hr precipitation observations at 5,637 stations from 2001 to 2020, results show that the smallest ERA5 random errors occur in the winter Extratropics and the largest ERA5 errors are in the Tropics. The errors grow in the summer Extratropics and the errors in the Tropics move with the intertropical convergence zone. These findings are mirrored in the stable equitable error in probability space (SEEPS) score, with the SEEPS signifying that ERA5 is more able to discriminate between different precipitation events in the Extratropics. In general, an ERA5 wet bias is also found. The assessment of annual maximum 1 day (RX1) precipitation accumulations and four extreme events shows that ERA5 cannot model the highest observed precipitation totals but that it can generally capture their locations and patterns. Furthermore, an evaluation of monthly precipitation corroborated that ERA5 is more skilful in the Extratropics. These results imply that users can have confidence in ERA5 precipitation in extratropical regions, and therefore it is recommended that ERA5 is mostly used for extratropical precipitation monitoring.
英文关键词	climate monitoring; ERA5; precipitation evaluation; SYNOP observations
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号	WOS:000842479800001
来源期刊	QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280606
作者单位	European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF); University of Birmingham
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lavers, David A.,Simmons, Adrian,Vamborg, Freja,et al. An evaluation of ERA5 precipitation for climate monitoring[J],2022,148(748).
APA	Lavers, David A.,Simmons, Adrian,Vamborg, Freja,&Rodwell, Mark J..(2022).An evaluation of ERA5 precipitation for climate monitoring.QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY,148(748).
MLA	Lavers, David A.,et al."An evaluation of ERA5 precipitation for climate monitoring".QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY 148.748(2022).