| DOI | 10.1038/s43016-022-00464-4
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| Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security |
| Fujimori, Shinichiro; Wu, Wenchao; Doelman, Jonathan; Frank, Stefan; Hristov, Jordan; Kyle, Page; Sands, Ronald; Van Zeist, Willem-Jan; Havlik, Petr; Dominguez, Ignacio Perez; Sahoo, Amarendra; Stehfest, Elke; Tabeau, Andrzej; Valin, Hugo; van Meijl, Hans; Hasegawa, Tomoko; Takahashi, Kiyoshi
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| 发表日期 | 2022
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| EISSN | 2662-1355
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| 起始页码 | 110
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| 结束页码 | +
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| 卷号 | 3期号:2 |
| 英文摘要 | Emissions abatement efforts in the agriculture, forestry and land-use sector are vital to achieve climate change mitigation targets, but their effects on food security remain poorly understood. Using six global agroeconomic models, this study explores how afforestation, bioenergy and non-CO2 emissions reductions could impact agricultural prices and the risk of hunger under different scenarios. Earlier studies have noted potential adverse impacts of land-related emissions mitigation strategies on food security, particularly due to food price increases-but without distinguishing these strategies' individual effects under different conditions. Using six global agroeconomic models, we show the extent to which three factors-non-CO2 emissions reduction, bioenergy production and afforestation-may change food security and agricultural market conditions under 2 degrees C climate-stabilization scenarios. Results show that afforestation (often simulated in the models by imposing carbon prices on land carbon stocks) could have a large impact on food security relative to non-CO2 emissions policies (generally implemented as emissions taxes). Respectively, these measures put an additional 41.9 million and 26.7 million people at risk of hunger in 2050 compared with the current trend scenario baseline. This highlights the need for better coordination in emissions reduction and agricultural market management policies as well as better representation of land use and associated greenhouse gas emissions in modelling. |
| 语种 | 英语
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| WOS研究方向 | Food Science & Technology
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| WOS类目 | Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
; Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
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| WOS记录号 | WOS:000761292500011
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| 来源期刊 | NATURE FOOD
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| 文献类型 | 期刊论文
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| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280534
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| 作者单位 | Kyoto University; National Institute for Environmental Studies - Japan; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences; Utrecht University; United States Department of Energy (DOE); Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; United States Department of Agriculture (USDA); Wageningen University & Research; Wageningen University & Research; Ritsumeikan University
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Fujimori, Shinichiro,Wu, Wenchao,Doelman, Jonathan,et al. Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security[J],2022,3(2).
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| APA |
Fujimori, Shinichiro.,Wu, Wenchao.,Doelman, Jonathan.,Frank, Stefan.,Hristov, Jordan.,...&Takahashi, Kiyoshi.(2022).Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security.NATURE FOOD,3(2).
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| MLA |
Fujimori, Shinichiro,et al."Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security".NATURE FOOD 3.2(2022).
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