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DOI | 10.1029/2021GL097131 |
Rapid Growth of Large Forest Fires Drives the Exponential Response of Annual Forest-Fire Area to Aridity in the Western United States | |
Juang, C. S.; Williams, A. P.; Abatzoglou, J. T.; Balch, J. K.; Hurteau, M. D.; Moritz, M. A. | |
发表日期 | 2022 |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
卷号 | 49期号:5 |
英文摘要 | Annual forest area burned (AFAB) in the western United States (US) has increased as a positive exponential function of rising aridity in recent decades. This non-linear response has important implications for AFAB in a changing climate, yet the cause of the exponential AFAB-aridity relationship has not been given rigorous attention. We investigated the exponential AFAB-aridity relationship in western US forests using a new 1984-2019 database of fire events and 2001-2020 satellite-based records of daily fire growth. While forest-fire frequency and duration grow linearly with aridity, the exponential AFAB-aridity relationship results from the exponential growth rates of individual fires. Larger fires generally have more potential for growth due to more extensive firelines. Thus, forces that promote fire growth, such as aridification, have more potent effects on larger fires. As aridity increases linearly, the potential for growth of large fires accelerates, leading to exponential increases in AFAB. |
英文关键词 | western US; climate change; wildfires; drought; extremes; database |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS类目 | Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000773409300031 |
来源期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280482 |
作者单位 | Columbia University; Columbia University; University of California System; University of California Los Angeles; University of California System; University of California Merced; University of Colorado System; University of Colorado Boulder; University of Colorado System; University of Colorado Boulder; University of New Mexico; University of California System; University of California Santa Barbara; University of California System; University of California Santa Barbara |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Juang, C. S.,Williams, A. P.,Abatzoglou, J. T.,et al. Rapid Growth of Large Forest Fires Drives the Exponential Response of Annual Forest-Fire Area to Aridity in the Western United States[J],2022,49(5). |
APA | Juang, C. S.,Williams, A. P.,Abatzoglou, J. T.,Balch, J. K.,Hurteau, M. D.,&Moritz, M. A..(2022).Rapid Growth of Large Forest Fires Drives the Exponential Response of Annual Forest-Fire Area to Aridity in the Western United States.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,49(5). |
MLA | Juang, C. S.,et al."Rapid Growth of Large Forest Fires Drives the Exponential Response of Annual Forest-Fire Area to Aridity in the Western United States".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 49.5(2022). |
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