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DOI | 10.1126/science.abn6301 |
A global transition to flash droughts under climate change | |
Yuan, Xing; Wang, Yumiao; Ji, Peng; Wu, Peili; Sheffield, Justin; Otkin, Jason A. | |
发表日期 | 2023 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
EISSN | 1095-9203 |
起始页码 | 187 |
结束页码 | 191 |
卷号 | 380期号:6641 |
英文摘要 | Flash droughts have occurred frequently worldwide, with a rapid onset that challenges drought monitoring and forecasting capabilities. However, there is no consensus on whether flash droughts have become the new normal because slow droughts may also increase. In this study, we show that drought intensification rates have sped up over subseasonal time scales and that there has been a transition toward more flash droughts over 74% of the global regions identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Extreme Events during the past 64 years. The transition is associated with amplified anomalies of evapotranspiration and precipitation deficit caused by anthropogenic climate change. In the future, the transition is projected to expand to most land areas, with larger increases under higher-emission scenarios. These findings underscore the urgency for adapting to faster-onset droughts in a warmer future. |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS类目 | Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000986061000014 |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280449 |
作者单位 | Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology; Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology; Met Office - UK; Hadley Centre; University of Southampton; University of Wisconsin System; University of Wisconsin Madison |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yuan, Xing,Wang, Yumiao,Ji, Peng,et al. A global transition to flash droughts under climate change[J],2023,380(6641). |
APA | Yuan, Xing,Wang, Yumiao,Ji, Peng,Wu, Peili,Sheffield, Justin,&Otkin, Jason A..(2023).A global transition to flash droughts under climate change.SCIENCE,380(6641). |
MLA | Yuan, Xing,et al."A global transition to flash droughts under climate change".SCIENCE 380.6641(2023). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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