气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The impact of climate change on China's agricultural green total factor

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.techfore.2022.122054
	The impact of climate change on China's agricultural green total factor
	Song, Yuegang; Zhang, Bicheng; Wang, Jianhua; Kwek, Keh
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0040-1625
EISSN	1873-5509
卷号	185
英文摘要	Using China's province-level panel data from 2001 to 2019 and the unexpected super efficiency MetaFrontier-Malmquist model (MinDS) to compute the super efficiency MinDS index for the green total factor productivity of China's agricultural sector, the paper analyses the temporal evolution in the agricultural sector's green total factor productivity across China's three economic regions by kernel density estimation. The effects of general climate factors and extreme weather events on the agricultural sector's green total factor productivity are empirically tested. The results show that precipitation, temperature, and humidity significantly impact agri-cultural green total factor productivity. The semi-parametric panel estimation method fits the nonlinear rela-tionship between climate change and agricultural productivity. In addition, the impacts are found to vary across grouping levels. The mechanism test shows that climate change affects agricultural green total factor produc-tivity through output, input, and structure effects. The test of the synthetic control method based on counter-factual thought shows that extreme weather has a significant negative impact on agricultural green total factor productivity in severely affected areas and is shown to display spatial and dynamic sustainability. The paper's results encourage policymakers in China to actively promote the coordinated and high-quality development of regional green agriculture under the condition of climate change.
英文关键词	Climate change; Agricultural green total factor productivity; Extreme weather event; Semi-parametric panel data models; Synthesis control method
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business ; Regional & Urban Planning
WOS类目	Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
WOS记录号	WOS:000884855300001
来源期刊	TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280391
作者单位	Henan Normal University; Changshu Institute of Technology
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Song, Yuegang,Zhang, Bicheng,Wang, Jianhua,et al. The impact of climate change on China's agricultural green total factor[J],2022,185.
APA	Song, Yuegang,Zhang, Bicheng,Wang, Jianhua,&Kwek, Keh.(2022).The impact of climate change on China's agricultural green total factor.TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE,185.
MLA	Song, Yuegang,et al."The impact of climate change on China's agricultural green total factor".TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE 185(2022).