气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Inequitable patterns of US flood risk in the Anthropocene

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-021-01265-6
	Inequitable patterns of US flood risk in the Anthropocene
	Wing, Oliver E. J.; Lehman, William; Bates, Paul D.; Sampson, Christopher C.; Quinn, Niall; Smith, Andrew M.; Neal, Jeffrey C.; Porter, Jeremy R.; Kousky, Carolyn
发表日期	2022
ISSN	1758-678X
EISSN	1758-6798
起始页码	156
结束页码	+
卷号	12 期号:2
英文摘要	Current flood risk mapping, relying on historical observations, fails to account for increasing threat under climate change. Incorporating recent developments in inundation modelling, here we show a 26.4% (24.1-29.1%) increase in US flood risk by 2050 due to climate change alone under RCP4.5. Our national depiction of comprehensive and high-resolution flood risk estimates in the United States indicates current average annual losses of US$32.1 billion (US$30.5-33.8 billion) in 2020's climate, which are borne disproportionately by poorer communities with a proportionally larger White population. The future increase in risk will disproportionately impact Black communities, while remaining concentrated on the Atlantic and Gulf coasts. Furthermore, projected population change (SSP2) could cause flood risk increases that outweigh the impact of climate change fourfold. These results make clear the need for adaptation to flood and emergent climate risks in the United States, with mitigation required to prevent the acceleration of these risks. Climate change is increasing flood risk, yet models based on historical data alone cannot capture the impact. Granular mapping of national flood risk shows that losses caused by flooding in the United States will increase substantially by 2050 and disproportionately burden less advantaged communities.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) ; Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
WOS记录号	WOS:000750489600004
来源期刊	NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280375
作者单位	University of Bristol; United States Department of Defense; United States Army; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers; Columbia University; City University of New York (CUNY) System; University of Pennsylvania
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wing, Oliver E. J.,Lehman, William,Bates, Paul D.,et al. Inequitable patterns of US flood risk in the Anthropocene[J],2022,12(2).
APA	Wing, Oliver E. J..,Lehman, William.,Bates, Paul D..,Sampson, Christopher C..,Quinn, Niall.,...&Kousky, Carolyn.(2022).Inequitable patterns of US flood risk in the Anthropocene.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,12(2).
MLA	Wing, Oliver E. J.,et al."Inequitable patterns of US flood risk in the Anthropocene".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 12.2(2022).