气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change impacts on winter chill in Mediterranean temperate fruit orchards

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10113-022-02006-x
	Climate change impacts on winter chill in Mediterranean temperate fruit orchards
	Fernandez, Eduardo; Mojahid, Hajar; Fadon, Erica; Rodrigo, Javier; Ruiz, David A.; Egea, Jose; Ben Mimoun, Mehdi; Kodad, Ossama; El Yaacoubi, Adnane; Ghrab, Mohamed; Egea, Jose; Benmoussa, Haifa; Borgini, Nadia; Elloumi, Olfa; Luedeling, Eike
发表日期	2023
ISSN	1436-3798
EISSN	1436-378X
卷号	23 期号:1
英文摘要	Temperate trees require low temperatures during winter and subsequent warm conditions in early spring to flower and eventually bear fruit. Many parts of the Mediterranean region feature winters with low and sometimes marginal chill accumulation. To assess historic and future agroclimatic conditions for cultivating temperate trees (including almonds, pistachios, apricots, sweet cherries and apples), we mapped winter chill throughout this important growing region. We used on-site weather records (1974-2020) to calibrate a weather generator and produced data for historic and future scenarios. To broaden our analysis, we spatially interpolated chill for the whole Mediterranean basin. We supplemented our simulation outcomes by collecting expert knowledge (from farmers and researchers) regarding observed climate change impacts on temperate orchards as well as future risks and concerns generated by climate change. Results showed that northern African growing regions have experienced major chill losses, a likely cause of the irregular and delayed bloom highlighted by experts. The same regions, together with southern Europe, may lose up to 30 Chill Portions by 2050 under a moderate warming scenario. For the future, experts foresee increasing risk of spring frost in early-blooming cultivars, exacerbated bloom-related problems and increasing occurrence of heat waves. Our results provide evidence of likely climate change impacts on temperate orchards. Expert knowledge proved instrumental in interpreting the simulation results as well as in orienting climate change adaptation strategies. The results we present are useful for farmers and orchard managers planning new plantings, as well as for researchers and policy makers developing strategies to adapt fruit orchards to the impacts of climate change.
英文关键词	Chill requirements; Climate change; Tree dormancy; Warm winters; Chill maps; Future scenarios; Temperate fruit trees
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS类目	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) ; Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
WOS记录号	WOS:000912719900001
来源期刊	REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280369
作者单位	University of Bonn; Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Valparaiso; Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas (CSIC); CSIC - Centro de Edafologia y Biologia Aplicada del Segura (CEBAS); Universite de Carthage; Sultan Moulay Slimane University of Beni Mellal; Universite de Sfax; Institut de l'Olivier; Universite de Carthage
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fernandez, Eduardo,Mojahid, Hajar,Fadon, Erica,et al. Climate change impacts on winter chill in Mediterranean temperate fruit orchards[J],2023,23(1).
APA	Fernandez, Eduardo.,Mojahid, Hajar.,Fadon, Erica.,Rodrigo, Javier.,Ruiz, David A..,...&Luedeling, Eike.(2023).Climate change impacts on winter chill in Mediterranean temperate fruit orchards.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,23(1).
MLA	Fernandez, Eduardo,et al."Climate change impacts on winter chill in Mediterranean temperate fruit orchards".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 23.1(2023).