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DOI | 10.1029/2021RG000762 |
Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East | |
Zittis, G.; Almazroui, M.; Alpert, P.; Ciais, P.; Cramer, W.; Dahdal, Y.; Fnais, M.; Francis, D.; Hadjinicolaou, P.; Howari, F.; Jrrar, A.; Kaskaoutis, D. G.; Kulmala, M.; Lazoglou, G.; Mihalopoulos, N.; Lin, X.; Rudich, Y.; Sciare, J.; Stenchikov, G.; Xoplaki, E.; Lelieveld, J. | |
发表日期 | 2022 |
ISSN | 8755-1209 |
EISSN | 1944-9208 |
卷号 | 60期号:3 |
英文摘要 | Observation-based and modeling studies have identified the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East (EMME) region as a prominent climate change hotspot. While several initiatives have addressed the impacts of climate change in parts of the EMME, here we present an updated assessment, covering a wide range of timescales, phenomena and future pathways. Our assessment is based on a revised analysis of recent observations and projections and an extensive overview of the recent scientific literature on the causes and effects of regional climate change. Greenhouse gas emissions in the EMME are growing rapidly, surpassing those of the European Union, hence contributing significantly to climate change. Over the past half-century and especially during recent decades, the EMME has warmed significantly faster than other inhabited regions. At the same time, changes in the hydrological cycle have become evident. The observed recent temperature increase of about 0.45 degrees C per decade is projected to continue, although strong global greenhouse gas emission reductions could moderate this trend. In addition to projected changes in mean climate conditions, we call attention to extreme weather events with potentially disruptive societal impacts. These include the strongly increasing severity and duration of heatwaves, droughts and dust storms, as well as torrential rain events that can trigger flash floods. Our review is complemented by a discussion of atmospheric pollution and land-use change in the region, including urbanization, desertification and forest fires. Finally, we identify sectors that may be critically affected and formulate adaptation and research recommendations toward greater resilience of the EMME region to climate change. |
英文关键词 | climate change; Eastern Mediterranean; Middle East; climate change impacts; Extreme events; regional climate models |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Geochemistry & Geophysics |
WOS类目 | Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000826365600001 |
来源期刊 | REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280313 |
作者单位 | King Abdulaziz University; Tel Aviv University; Universite Paris Saclay; Universite Paris Cite; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); CNRS - National Institute for Earth Sciences & Astronomy (INSU); Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS); Aix-Marseille Universite; Avignon Universite; Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement (IRD); King Saud University; Khalifa University of Science & Technology; Zayed University; National Observatory of Athens; University of Crete; University of Helsinki; Weizmann Institute of Science; King Abdullah University of Science & Technology; Justus Liebig University Giessen; Justus Liebig University Giessen; Max Planck Society |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zittis, G.,Almazroui, M.,Alpert, P.,et al. Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East[J],2022,60(3). |
APA | Zittis, G..,Almazroui, M..,Alpert, P..,Ciais, P..,Cramer, W..,...&Lelieveld, J..(2022).Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East.REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS,60(3). |
MLA | Zittis, G.,et al."Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East".REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS 60.3(2022). |
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