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DOI10.1038/s41558-022-01465-8
Climate change increases global risk to urban forests
Esperon-Rodriguez, Manuel; Tjoelker, Mark G.; Lenoir, Jonathan; Baumgartner, John B.; Beaumont, Linda J.; Nipperess, David A.; Power, Sally A.; Richard, Benoit; Rymer, Paul D.; Gallagher, Rachael, V
发表日期2022
ISSN1758-678X
EISSN1758-6798
起始页码950
结束页码+
卷号12期号:10页码:11
英文摘要Climate change threatens the health and survival of urban trees and the various benefits they deliver to urban inhabitants. Here, we show that 56% and 65% of species in 164 cities across 78 countries are currently exceeding temperature and precipitation conditions experienced in their geographic range, respectively. We assessed 3,129 tree and shrub species, using three metrics related to climate vulnerability: exposure, safety margin and risk. By 2050 under Representative Concentration Pathway 6.0, 2,387 (76%) and 2,220 (70%) species will be at risk from projected changes in mean annual temperature and annual precipitation, respectively. Risk is predicted to be greatest in cities at low latitudes-such as New Delhi and Singapore-where all urban tree species are vulnerable to climate change. These findings aid the evaluation of the impacts of climate change to secure long-term benefits provided by urban forests. Assessing 3,129 species of trees and shrubs found in 164 global urban areas shows that over half of the species currently experience non-ideal climates. They project increases in risk due to climate change by 2050 and highlight cities where all species are at risk.
学科领域Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000858426500002
来源期刊NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/274265
作者单位Western Sydney University; Picardie Universites; Universite de Picardie Jules Verne (UPJV); University of Melbourne; Macquarie University; INRAE; Universite de Rouen Normandie
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Esperon-Rodriguez, Manuel,Tjoelker, Mark G.,Lenoir, Jonathan,et al. Climate change increases global risk to urban forests[J],2022,12(10):11.
APA Esperon-Rodriguez, Manuel.,Tjoelker, Mark G..,Lenoir, Jonathan.,Baumgartner, John B..,Beaumont, Linda J..,...&Gallagher, Rachael, V.(2022).Climate change increases global risk to urban forests.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,12(10),11.
MLA Esperon-Rodriguez, Manuel,et al."Climate change increases global risk to urban forests".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 12.10(2022):11.
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