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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-022-01508-0 |
Ratcheting of climate pledges needed to limit peak global warming | |
Iyer, Gokul; Ou, Yang; Edmonds, James; Fawcett, Allen A.; Hultman, Nathan; McFarland, James; Fuhrman, Jay; Waldhoff, Stephanie; McJeon, Haewon | |
发表日期 | 2022 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
起始页码 | 1129 |
结束页码 | + |
卷号 | 12期号:12页码:10 |
英文摘要 | The new and updated emission reduction pledges submitted by countries ahead of the Twenty-Sixth Conference of Parties represent a meaningful strengthening of global ambition compared to the 2015 Paris pledges. Yet, limiting global warming below 1.5 degrees C this century will require countries to ratchet ambition for 2030 and beyond. Here, we explore a suite of emissions pathways to show that ratcheting near-term ambition through 2030 will be crucial to limiting peak temperature changes. Delaying ratcheting ambition to beyond 2030 could still deliver end-of-century temperature change of less than 1.5 degrees C but would result in higher temperature overshoot over many decades with the potential for adverse consequences. Ratcheting near-term ambition would also deliver benefits from enhanced non-CO2 mitigation and facilitate faster transitions to net-zero emissions systems in major economies. Many countries have submitted updated and new emissions reduction pledges in COP26, but further ratcheting of pledges is needed to reach the 1.5 degrees C goal. Ratcheting near-term ambition through 2030 could bring the largest climate benefits and avoid potential long-term temperature overshoot. |
学科领域 | Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000881686300004 |
来源期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/274222 |
作者单位 | United States Department of Energy (DOE); Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park; United States Environmental Protection Agency; University System of Maryland; University of Maryland College Park |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Iyer, Gokul,Ou, Yang,Edmonds, James,et al. Ratcheting of climate pledges needed to limit peak global warming[J],2022,12(12):10. |
APA | Iyer, Gokul.,Ou, Yang.,Edmonds, James.,Fawcett, Allen A..,Hultman, Nathan.,...&McJeon, Haewon.(2022).Ratcheting of climate pledges needed to limit peak global warming.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,12(12),10. |
MLA | Iyer, Gokul,et al."Ratcheting of climate pledges needed to limit peak global warming".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 12.12(2022):10. |
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