气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Determining the credibility of commitments in international climate policy

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-022-01454-x
	Determining the credibility of commitments in international climate policy
	Victor, David G.; Lumkowsky, Marcel; Dannenberg, Astrid
发表日期	2022
ISSN	1758-678X
EISSN	1758-6798
起始页码	793
结束页码	+
卷号	12 期号:9 页码:12
英文摘要	The Paris Agreement on climate change aims to improve cooperation by allowing governments to set their own commitments. Its success hinges on whether governments and investors believe those national commitments. To assess credibility, we interrogate a large novel sample of climate policy elites with decades of experience and well-placed to evaluate whether nations' policy pledges are aligned with what they are politically and administratively able to implement. This expert assessment reveals that countries making the boldest pledges are also making the most credible pledges, contrasting theoretical warnings of a trade-off between ambition and credibility. We find that the quality of national political institutions is the largest explanator of the variation in credibility, and Europe's credibility is exceptionally high. We also find that economic factors, such as the costs and benefits of controlling emissions, are statistically unimportant in explaining the credibility of national pledges to cooperate. The success of international climate cooperation relies on whether national commitments are believable under the Paris Agreement. Based on the survey with experienced climate policy professionals, the authors explore the determinants of credibility of national commitments.
学科领域	Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000849293400005
来源期刊	NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/274213
作者单位	University of California System; University of California San Diego; University of California System; University of California San Diego; Scripps Institution of Oceanography; University of California System; University of California San Diego; Brookings Institution; Universitat Kassel; University of Gothenburg
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Victor, David G.,Lumkowsky, Marcel,Dannenberg, Astrid. Determining the credibility of commitments in international climate policy[J],2022,12(9):12.
APA	Victor, David G.,Lumkowsky, Marcel,&Dannenberg, Astrid.(2022).Determining the credibility of commitments in international climate policy.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,12(9),12.
MLA	Victor, David G.,et al."Determining the credibility of commitments in international climate policy".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 12.9(2022):12.