气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Carbon emissions and economic impacts of an EU embargo on Russian fossil fuels

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-023-01606-7
	Carbon emissions and economic impacts of an EU embargo on Russian fossil fuels
	Liu, Li-Jing; Jiang, Hong-Dian; Liang, Qiao-Mei; Creutzig, Felix; Liao, Hua; Yao, Yun-Fei; Qian, Xiang-Yan; Ren, Zhong-Yuan; Qing, Jing; Cai, Qi-Ran; Edenhofer, Ottmar; Wei, Yi-Ming
发表日期	2023
ISSN	1758-678X
EISSN	1758-6798
起始页码	290
结束页码	+
卷号	13 期号:3 页码:10
英文摘要	The Russia-Ukraine conflict lays bare the dependence of the European Union (EU) on fossil fuel imports from Russia. Here, we use a global computable general equilibrium model, C(3)IAM/GEEPA, to estimate CO2 emission and gross domestic product (GDP) impact of embargoing fossil fuels from Russia. We find that embargoes induce more than 10% reduction of CO2 emissions in the EU and slight increases of emissions in Russia, while both regions experience GDP losses (around 2% for the EU and about 5% for Russia, ignoring the relative impact of other sanctions). Reacting to increasing energy prices with demand-side response inside the EU would increase CO2 emission savings, while turning GDP losses into gains. Implementing a partial embargo with tariffs largely compensates for lost government revenue. An EU embargo on Russian fossil fuels would lead to a rapid decrease in fossil fuel combustion, GHG emissions reductions and potential economic losses. This analysis quantifies such effects, while also demonstrating how demand-side responses could offset the negative shock.
学科领域	Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000926394000005
来源期刊	NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/274041
作者单位	Beijing Institute of Technology; Beijing Institute of Technology; China University of Geosciences; Technical University of Berlin; Sinopec; China National Petroleum Corporation; Potsdam Institut fur Klimafolgenforschung
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu, Li-Jing,Jiang, Hong-Dian,Liang, Qiao-Mei,et al. Carbon emissions and economic impacts of an EU embargo on Russian fossil fuels[J],2023,13(3):10.
APA	Liu, Li-Jing.,Jiang, Hong-Dian.,Liang, Qiao-Mei.,Creutzig, Felix.,Liao, Hua.,...&Wei, Yi-Ming.(2023).Carbon emissions and economic impacts of an EU embargo on Russian fossil fuels.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,13(3),10.
MLA	Liu, Li-Jing,et al."Carbon emissions and economic impacts of an EU embargo on Russian fossil fuels".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 13.3(2023):10.