气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Economic and employment effects of China's power transition based on input-output and scenario simulation

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.accre.2022.09.001
	Economic and employment effects of China's power transition based on input-output and scenario simulation
	Sun, Dong; Liu, Yan-Yan; Yang, Xiao-Wen; Lyu, Liang-Qiu; Yuan, Jia-Hai
发表日期	2022
ISSN	1674-9278
起始页码	721
结束页码	728
卷号	13 期号:5 页码:8
英文摘要	With high carbon emission, the low-carbon transition of power sector will be critical for China to achieve the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. The power transition will have an impact on the economy and employment through the value chain. Quantifying the impact is important for China's future energy and welfare policies. This study adopts input-output model to analyze the impact on economy and employment based on accelerated and slow power transition scenarios. The results show that the low-carbon power transition will have a negative impact on coal power and coal mining and washing sectors, while a positive impact on machine manufacturing and equipment sector. Low-carbon power transition will have a positive economic and employment effect to promote inclusive growth. By 2060, economic output will increase by about 8.50 trillion CNY, value-added by about 3.39 trillion CNY, and employment will increase by about 3.74 million. Although slower coal power transition can stabilize the economic and employment effect in the short and medium run, accelerating the power transition will produce more positive effect and lower job losses by coal power in the long run. By 2060, accelerating transition will boost output by 8.21%, value-added by 8.20% and jobs by 7.97%. Accordingly, the government should establish an all-round just low-carbon transition mechanism.
英文关键词	Low-carbon power transition; Input-output model; Scenario simulation; Economic effect; Employment effect
学科领域	Environmental Sciences; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000874699900010
来源期刊	ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/273981
作者单位	North China Electric Power University; North China Electric Power University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sun, Dong,Liu, Yan-Yan,Yang, Xiao-Wen,et al. Economic and employment effects of China's power transition based on input-output and scenario simulation[J],2022,13(5):8.
APA	Sun, Dong,Liu, Yan-Yan,Yang, Xiao-Wen,Lyu, Liang-Qiu,&Yuan, Jia-Hai.(2022).Economic and employment effects of China's power transition based on input-output and scenario simulation.ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH,13(5),8.
MLA	Sun, Dong,et al."Economic and employment effects of China's power transition based on input-output and scenario simulation".ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH 13.5(2022):8.