气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Socio-hydrological features of armed conflicts in the Lake Chad Basin

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41893-022-00936-2
	Socio-hydrological features of armed conflicts in the Lake Chad Basin
	Galli, Nikolas; Dell'Angelo, Jampel; Epifani, Ilenia; Chiarelli, Davide Danilo; Rulli, Maria Cristina
发表日期	2022
ISSN	2398-9629
起始页码	843
结束页码	852
卷号	5 期号:10 页码:10
英文摘要	The role of water resources in conflict has been the centre of a polarized scientific debate on the connections between environmental and social sustainability. We investigate whether and how water availability, also in relation to water demand, increases the likelihood of violent conflict, and we analyse how hydrological factors influence social conflict dynamics involving non-state armed groups in the Lake Chad Basin. We combine hydrological and biophysical factors with information on socio-political processes. We use a novel physically based agro-hydrological model to produce water-availability and water-demand indicators to explore the conflict potential. By coupling a critical modelling perspective with a novel rendition of hydrological dynamics and statistical tools, we explore water-conflict interconnections in a broader hydrosocial framework. Our results show that, although water scarcity alone does not directly drive violent conflict, complex water-related interdependencies exist on multiple space-time scales. Analytical integration of fine-scale hydrological indicators may help deconstruct both mechanistic and relativist narratives, improve understanding of socio-hydrological complexity and move towards a comprehensive vision of socially and environmentally sustainable use of water and land. While fears of 'water wars' have been publicized in recent years, this Article illustrates the complexities surrounding resource availability and socio-political dynamics that may induce, or prevent, conflicts over water in arid landscapes.
学科领域	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:000832542200003
来源期刊	NATURE SUSTAINABILITY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272808
作者单位	Polytechnic University of Milan; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Polytechnic University of Milan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Galli, Nikolas,Dell'Angelo, Jampel,Epifani, Ilenia,et al. Socio-hydrological features of armed conflicts in the Lake Chad Basin[J],2022,5(10):10.
APA	Galli, Nikolas,Dell'Angelo, Jampel,Epifani, Ilenia,Chiarelli, Davide Danilo,&Rulli, Maria Cristina.(2022).Socio-hydrological features of armed conflicts in the Lake Chad Basin.NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,5(10),10.
MLA	Galli, Nikolas,et al."Socio-hydrological features of armed conflicts in the Lake Chad Basin".NATURE SUSTAINABILITY 5.10(2022):10.