气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Human footprint is associated with shifts in the assemblages of major vector-borne diseases

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41893-023-01080-1
	Human footprint is associated with shifts in the assemblages of major vector-borne diseases
	Skinner, Eloise B.; Glidden, Caroline K.; MacDonald, Andrew J.; Mordecai, Erin A.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	2398-9629
页码	13
英文摘要	Vector-borne diseases are highly responsive to environmental changes, but such responses are difficult to isolate. Using human footprint index and machine learning, this study shows how the occurrence of six diverse vector-borne diseases responds to the intricate effects of human pressure. Predicting how increasing intensity of human-environment interactions affects pathogen transmission is essential to anticipate changing disease risks and identify appropriate mitigation strategies. Vector-borne diseases (VBDs) are highly responsive to environmental changes, but such responses are notoriously difficult to isolate because pathogen transmission depends on a suite of ecological and social responses in vectors and hosts that may differ across species. Here we use the emerging tools of cumulative pressure mapping and machine learning to better understand how the occurrence of six medically important VBDs, differing in ecology from sylvatic to urban, respond to multidimensional effects of human pressure. We find that not only is human footprint-an index of human pressure, incorporating built environments, energy and transportation infrastructure, agricultural lands and human population density-an important predictor of VBD occurrence, but there are clear thresholds governing the occurrence of different VBDs. Across a spectrum of human pressure, diseases associated with lower human pressure, including malaria, cutaneous leishmaniasis and visceral leishmaniasis, give way to diseases associated with high human pressure, such as dengue, chikungunya and Zika. These heterogeneous responses of VBDs to human pressure highlight thresholds of land-use transitions that may lead to abrupt shifts in infectious disease burdens and public health needs.
学科领域	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:000948642200003
来源期刊	NATURE SUSTAINABILITY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272678
作者单位	Stanford University; Griffith University; University of California System; University of California Santa Barbara; University of California System; University of California Santa Barbara
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Skinner, Eloise B.,Glidden, Caroline K.,MacDonald, Andrew J.,et al. Human footprint is associated with shifts in the assemblages of major vector-borne diseases[J],2022:13.
APA	Skinner, Eloise B.,Glidden, Caroline K.,MacDonald, Andrew J.,&Mordecai, Erin A..(2022).Human footprint is associated with shifts in the assemblages of major vector-borne diseases.NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,13.
MLA	Skinner, Eloise B.,et al."Human footprint is associated with shifts in the assemblages of major vector-borne diseases".NATURE SUSTAINABILITY (2022):13.