气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Electricity generation portfolio planning and policy implications of Turkish power system considering cost, emission, and uncertainty

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113393
	Electricity generation portfolio planning and policy implications of Turkish power system considering cost, emission, and uncertainty
	Selcuklu, Saltuk Bugra; Coit, D. W.; Felder, F. A.
发表日期	2023
ISSN	0301-4215
EISSN	1873-6777
卷号	173 页码:15
英文摘要	Turkiye is the fastest-growing energy market among the OECD members, and it is among the world's top 20 energy-consuming countries. The existing electricity generation capacity of Turkiye has doubled in the last decade. Planning the electricity generation portfolio is an important problem for the decision and policymakers, especially in terms of sustainable development, and it is crucial for Turkiye's economic growth. In this paper, we study the long-term electricity generation portfolio optimization while considering the uncertainties. An optimization algorithm is modeled and solved while integrating uncertainty information as part of the Pareto concept. The results of three scenarios are presented and policy implications are discussed and compared with similar Turkish case studies and government projections. The results suggest that it is less risky to minimize emissions, thus, more likely to be sustainable than to minimize costs. Comparisons among solutions show that nuclear is a substitute for renewable resources and comparisons among other studies show that natural gas and hydro are substitutes for each other. Multi-objective formulation reveals that the government's scenario provides favorable results in business-as-usual conditions; however, nuclear and renewable investments that the government has planned are too ambitious to keep costs lower while decreasing emissions.
英文关键词	Electricity generation portfolio; Generation expansion planning; Uncertainty; T?rkiye
学科领域	Economics; Energy & Fuels; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:000903955200006
来源期刊	ENERGY POLICY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272304
作者单位	Erciyes University; Erciyes University; Rutgers State University New Brunswick; Tsinghua University; Rutgers State University New Brunswick
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Selcuklu, Saltuk Bugra,Coit, D. W.,Felder, F. A.. Electricity generation portfolio planning and policy implications of Turkish power system considering cost, emission, and uncertainty[J],2023,173:15.
APA	Selcuklu, Saltuk Bugra,Coit, D. W.,&Felder, F. A..(2023).Electricity generation portfolio planning and policy implications of Turkish power system considering cost, emission, and uncertainty.ENERGY POLICY,173,15.
MLA	Selcuklu, Saltuk Bugra,et al."Electricity generation portfolio planning and policy implications of Turkish power system considering cost, emission, and uncertainty".ENERGY POLICY 173(2023):15.