气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): China's natural gas production peak and energy return on investment (EROI): From the perspective of energy security

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112913
	China's natural gas production peak and energy return on investment (EROI): From the perspective of energy security
	Xie, Minghua; Wei, Xiaonan; Chen, Chuanglian; Sun, Chuanwang
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0301-4215
EISSN	1873-6777
卷号	164 页码:10
英文摘要	China has to make full use of natural gas for a long period due to its cleanness and economy. To ensure energy security and promote natural gas development, it is necessary to reasonably predict natural gas peak under the background of unconventional natural gas replacing conventional natural gas in the long term. Based on Hubbert's peak theory, this paper forecasts that China's natural gas production will reach 196.7-582.5 billion cubic meters when considering the contribution of unconventional natural gas. The upper value is an optimistic scenario that fully considers the impact of technological progress and development investment on unconventional natural gas exploration. In an optimistic scenario, China can achieve energy security and a Nationally Determined Contribution plan by controlling the foreign dependence on natural gas within 40%. This paper also analyzes the internal mechanism between resource scarcity, natural gas peak and energy transformation from an energy return on investment. China's EROI in the oil and gas industries has experienced a U-shaped fluctuation process; in an optimistic scenario; EROI will continue to rise until natural gas production reaches its peak and effectively make natural gas the bridging fuel for the transformation from fossil energy to renewable energy.
英文关键词	China's energy security; Natural gas peak; Hubbert model; EROI
学科领域	Economics; Energy & Fuels; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:000820524900005
来源期刊	ENERGY POLICY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272293
作者单位	Xiamen University; Xiamen University; Central University of Finance & Economics; Xiamen University; Xiamen University; Jinan University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xie, Minghua,Wei, Xiaonan,Chen, Chuanglian,et al. China's natural gas production peak and energy return on investment (EROI): From the perspective of energy security[J],2022,164:10.
APA	Xie, Minghua,Wei, Xiaonan,Chen, Chuanglian,&Sun, Chuanwang.(2022).China's natural gas production peak and energy return on investment (EROI): From the perspective of energy security.ENERGY POLICY,164,10.
MLA	Xie, Minghua,et al."China's natural gas production peak and energy return on investment (EROI): From the perspective of energy security".ENERGY POLICY 164(2022):10.