气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Masters of the machinery: The politics of economic modelling within European Union energy policy

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113386
	Masters of the machinery: The politics of economic modelling within European Union energy policy
	Royston, Sarah; Foulds, Chris; Pasqualino, Roberto; Jones, Aled
发表日期	2023
ISSN	0301-4215
EISSN	1873-6777
卷号	173 页码:10
英文摘要	Economic modelling plays a major role in the development, justification and evaluation of energy policies. However, there has been little investigation of how political dynamics systematically influence these models' development and outputs, or the implications for energy strategies, targets and interventions. Using in-depth interviews with 24 European modellers and policyworkers, we illuminate the politics of economic modelling within European Union (EU) energy policymaking, focusing on dynamics of contestation, differentiated influence and power relations within models' a) framing of questions and problems; b) framing of scenarios and solutions; c) structural assumptions and d) definition of quantitative data inputs. We then consider deeper questions of e) access and exclusion, showing how modelling is used to silence critical voices and reinforce incumbent interests. We argue that understanding this politics of modelling is crucial to the implementation of sustainable energy transitions. We conclude with recommendations for researchers and policyworkers seeking to promote the use of alternative/innovative models in energy policy (within and beyond the EU), centring on reflexivity; recognition; and relationship-building. Developing multi-sectoral 'communities of practice' around innovative modelling approaches is vital in challenging a vicious circle of evidence and policy that legitimises business-as-usual in a dangerously warming world.
英文关键词	Model; Evidence; Policymaking; Politics; Forecasting
学科领域	Economics; Energy & Fuels; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:000909894600001
来源期刊	ENERGY POLICY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272263
作者单位	Anglia Ruskin University; University of Cambridge
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Royston, Sarah,Foulds, Chris,Pasqualino, Roberto,et al. Masters of the machinery: The politics of economic modelling within European Union energy policy[J],2023,173:10.
APA	Royston, Sarah,Foulds, Chris,Pasqualino, Roberto,&Jones, Aled.(2023).Masters of the machinery: The politics of economic modelling within European Union energy policy.ENERGY POLICY,173,10.
MLA	Royston, Sarah,et al."Masters of the machinery: The politics of economic modelling within European Union energy policy".ENERGY POLICY 173(2023):10.