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DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113497
Reducing US biofuels requirements mitigates short-term impacts of global population and income growth on agricultural environmental outcomes
Johnson, David R.; Geldner, Nathan B.; Liu, Jing; Baldos, Uris Lantz; Hertel, Thomas
发表日期2023
ISSN0301-4215
EISSN1873-6777
卷号175页码:7
英文摘要Biobased energy, particularly corn starch-based ethanol and other liquid renewable fuels, is a major element of federal and state energy policies in the United States. These policies are motivated by energy security and climate change mitigation objectives, but corn ethanol does not substantially reduce greenhouse gas emissions when compared to petroleum-based fuels in all production scenarios. Corn production also imposes substantial negative externalities (e.g., nitrogen leaching, higher food prices, water scarcity, and indirect land use change). In this paper, we utilize a partial equilibrium model of corn-soy production and trade to analyze the potential of reduced US demand for corn as a biobased energy feedstock to mitigate increases in nitrogen leaching, crop production and land use associated with growing global populations and income from 2020 to 2050. We estimate that a 24% demand reduction would sustain land use and nitrogen leaching below 2020 levels through the year 2025, and a 41% reduction would do so through 2030. Outcomes are similar across major watersheds where corn and soy are intensively farmed.
学科领域Economics; Energy & Fuels; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种英语
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号WOS:000947828000001
来源期刊ENERGY POLICY
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272232
作者单位Purdue University System; Purdue University; Purdue University West Lafayette Campus; Purdue University System; Purdue University; Purdue University West Lafayette Campus; Purdue University System; Purdue University; Purdue University West Lafayette Campus
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GB/T 7714
Johnson, David R.,Geldner, Nathan B.,Liu, Jing,et al. Reducing US biofuels requirements mitigates short-term impacts of global population and income growth on agricultural environmental outcomes[J],2023,175:7.
APA Johnson, David R.,Geldner, Nathan B.,Liu, Jing,Baldos, Uris Lantz,&Hertel, Thomas.(2023).Reducing US biofuels requirements mitigates short-term impacts of global population and income growth on agricultural environmental outcomes.ENERGY POLICY,175,7.
MLA Johnson, David R.,et al."Reducing US biofuels requirements mitigates short-term impacts of global population and income growth on agricultural environmental outcomes".ENERGY POLICY 175(2023):7.
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