气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The role of electric vehicles in decarbonising Australia?s road transport sector: modelling ambitious scenarios

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DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113144
	The role of electric vehicles in decarbonising Australia?s road transport sector: modelling ambitious scenarios
	Broadbent, Gail; Allen, Cameron; Wiedmann, Thomas; Metternicht, Graciela
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0301-4215
EISSN	1873-6777
卷号	168 页码:11
英文摘要	Transitioning to net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2050 is becoming increasingly urgent, requiring accelerated efforts to decarbonise all economic sectors, including transport, a growing emissions source. A transition to battery electric vehicles (BEV) would accelerate the decarbonisation of road transport and provide other benefits. But in Australia, BEV uptake has been negligible, and the scale and pace required to reach net-zero emissions by 2050 has not been addressed to date.This study applies a national-scale integrated macroeconomic model (iSDG-Australia) to project Australia's future road transport demand, vehicle mix, energy consumption and GHG emissions by 2050. It models five scenarios incorporating different levels of economic and population growth, vehicle longevity, ambitions for BEV uptake, fleet renewal, forced phase-out of fossil-fuelled vehicles and shifts to renewable electricity. Scenario projections are benchmarked on their zero-emission vehicle mix, fuel and electricity consumption, GHG emissions, and broader social and economic impacts. We conclude the scale and pace of change must be transformational rather than transitional, requiring urgent policy action. An ambitious and rapid transition to 100% BEVs in new vehicle sales, accelerated fleet renewal, and a shift to renewable electricity generation could achieve a net-zero outcome for Australia's road transport sector by 2050.
英文关键词	Electric vehicle; scenario; emissions reductions; system dynamics modelling; transport; public policy
学科领域	Economics; Energy & Fuels; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:000828205300006
来源期刊	ENERGY POLICY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272199
作者单位	University of New South Wales Sydney; University of New South Wales Sydney
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Broadbent, Gail,Allen, Cameron,Wiedmann, Thomas,et al. The role of electric vehicles in decarbonising Australia?s road transport sector: modelling ambitious scenarios[J],2022,168:11.
APA	Broadbent, Gail,Allen, Cameron,Wiedmann, Thomas,&Metternicht, Graciela.(2022).The role of electric vehicles in decarbonising Australia?s road transport sector: modelling ambitious scenarios.ENERGY POLICY,168,11.
MLA	Broadbent, Gail,et al."The role of electric vehicles in decarbonising Australia?s road transport sector: modelling ambitious scenarios".ENERGY POLICY 168(2022):11.