气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Projection of fuel cell electric vehicle demand reflecting the feedback effects between market conditions and market share affected by spatial factors

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DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113385
	Projection of fuel cell electric vehicle demand reflecting the feedback effects between market conditions and market share affected by spatial factors
	Ko, Sungmin; Shin, Jungwoo
发表日期	2023
ISSN	0301-4215
EISSN	1873-6777
卷号	173 页码:11
英文摘要	The Korean government has planned policies to increase the penetration rate of fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs). Policy intervention has a positive effect on FCEV diffusion. Infrastructure distribution plays a significant role in accelerating penetration rate at the early stage of the market. Although inevitably differences exist in the accessibility of hydrogen refueling stations (HRSs) by region due to various constraints, few studies have considered accessibility in detail. This study analyzes how policies that vary depending on time and space, including infrastructure distribution, impact demand for FCEVs. A multistage structure is employed in the analysis to reflect the influence of spatial factors. Vehicle preference is analyzed through a discrete choice experiment at the first stage. The second stage solves the location problem and predicts the market share of FCEVs by reflecting the feedback effect between FCEVs' market share and the accessibility of HRSs through a loop structure. The results indicate that improving access to HRSs positively affects the initial stage of the market; however, after accessibility reaches a certain level, it no longer affects the market share. The subsidies for hydrogen refueling costs bring a relatively rapid change to the gradually increasing penetration rate of FCEVs.
英文关键词	Consumer preference; Demand forecasting; Discrete choice experiment; Fuel cell electric vehicle; Infrastructure distribution; Location optimization
学科领域	Economics; Energy & Fuels; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:000897044200002
来源期刊	ENERGY POLICY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272035
作者单位	Science & Technology Policy Institute (STEPI), Republic of Korea; Kyung Hee University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ko, Sungmin,Shin, Jungwoo. Projection of fuel cell electric vehicle demand reflecting the feedback effects between market conditions and market share affected by spatial factors[J],2023,173:11.
APA	Ko, Sungmin,&Shin, Jungwoo.(2023).Projection of fuel cell electric vehicle demand reflecting the feedback effects between market conditions and market share affected by spatial factors.ENERGY POLICY,173,11.
MLA	Ko, Sungmin,et al."Projection of fuel cell electric vehicle demand reflecting the feedback effects between market conditions and market share affected by spatial factors".ENERGY POLICY 173(2023):11.