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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-022-01376-8 |
Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change | |
Qiao L.; Wang X.; Smith P.; Fan J.; Lu Y.; Emmett B.; Li R.; Dorling S.; Chen H.; Liu S.; Benton T.G.; Wang Y.; Ma Y.; Jiang R.; Zhang F.; Piao S.; Mϋller C.; Yang H.; Hao Y.; Li W.; Fan M. | |
发表日期 | 2022 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
起始页码 | 574 |
结束页码 | 580 |
卷号 | 12期号:6 |
英文摘要 | Interactions between soil quality and climate change may influence the capacity of croplands to produce sufficient food. Here, we address this issue by using a new dataset of soil, climate and associated yield observations for 12,115 site-years representing 90% of total cereal production in China. Across crops and environmental conditions, we show that high-quality soils reduced the sensitivity of crop yield to climate variability leading to both higher mean crop yield (10.3 ± 6.7%) and higher yield stability (decreasing variability by 15.6 ± 14.4%). High-quality soils improve the outcome for yields under climate change by 1.7% (0.5–4.0%), compared to low-quality soils. Climate-driven yield change could result in reductions of national cereal production of 11.4 Mt annually under representative concentration pathway RCP 8.5 by 2080–2099. While this production reduction was exacerbated by 14% due to soil degradation, it can be reduced by 21% through soil improvement. This study emphasizes the vital role of soil quality in agriculture under climate change. © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | climate change; crop production; crop yield; soil improvement; soil quality; spatiotemporal analysis; China |
来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/262142 |
作者单位 | College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Qiao L.; Wang X.; Smith P.; Fan J.; Lu Y.; Emmett B.; Li R.; Dorling S.; Chen H.; Liu S.; Benton T.G.; Wang Y.; Ma Y.; Jiang R.; Zhang F.; Piao S.; Mϋller C.; Yang H.; Hao Y.; Li W.; Fan M.. Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change[J],2022,12(6). |
APA | Qiao L.; Wang X.; Smith P.; Fan J.; Lu Y.; Emmett B.; Li R.; Dorling S.; Chen H.; Liu S.; Benton T.G.; Wang Y.; Ma Y.; Jiang R.; Zhang F.; Piao S.; Mϋller C.; Yang H.; Hao Y.; Li W.; Fan M..(2022).Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change.Nature Climate Change,12(6). |
MLA | Qiao L.; Wang X.; Smith P.; Fan J.; Lu Y.; Emmett B.; Li R.; Dorling S.; Chen H.; Liu S.; Benton T.G.; Wang Y.; Ma Y.; Jiang R.; Zhang F.; Piao S.; Mϋller C.; Yang H.; Hao Y.; Li W.; Fan M.."Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change".Nature Climate Change 12.6(2022). |
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