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DOI10.1038/s41558-022-01391-9
Mangrove dispersal disrupted by projected changes in global seawater density
Van der Stocken T.;   Vanschoenwinkel B.;   Carroll D.;   Cavanaugh K.C.;   Koedam N.
发表日期2022
ISSN1758-678X
起始页码685
结束页码691
卷号12期号:7
英文摘要The degree to which the distribution of mangrove forests will be impacted by climate change depends on the dispersal and establishment of sea-faring propagules, which drive forest rejuvenation, gene flow and range expansion. Climate change affects sea surface density via changes in temperature and salinity. However, these changes have not been mapped and it remains unclear how these factors may impact mangrove propagule dispersal. Here, we provide evidence for strong warming of coastal mangrove waters and elevated geographic variability in surface ocean density under representative concentration pathway RCP 8.5 by 2100. The largest changes will occur in the Indo West Pacific region, the primary hotspot of mangrove diversity. By comparing propagule densities to predicted sea surface density, we assessed potential effects on mangrove propagule dispersal. In the future, a warmer and fresher ocean is likely to alter dispersal trajectories of mangrove propagules and increase rates of sinking in unsuitable offshore locations, potentially reducing the resilience of mangrove forests. © 2022, The Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词climate change; mangrove; propagule; resilience; seawater; Pacific Ocean; Pacific Ocean (West)
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/262123
作者单位Department of Biology, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium
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Van der Stocken T.; Vanschoenwinkel B.; Carroll D.; Cavanaugh K.C.; Koedam N.. Mangrove dispersal disrupted by projected changes in global seawater density[J],2022,12(7).
APA Van der Stocken T.; Vanschoenwinkel B.; Carroll D.; Cavanaugh K.C.; Koedam N..(2022).Mangrove dispersal disrupted by projected changes in global seawater density.Nature Climate Change,12(7).
MLA Van der Stocken T.; Vanschoenwinkel B.; Carroll D.; Cavanaugh K.C.; Koedam N.."Mangrove dispersal disrupted by projected changes in global seawater density".Nature Climate Change 12.7(2022).
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