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DOI10.1016/j.accre.2021.09.005
A U.S.‒China coal power transition and the global 1.5 °C pathway
Cui R.Y.;   Hultman N.;   Cui D.-Y.;   Mcjeon H.;   Clarke L.;   Yuan J.-H.;   Cai W.-J.
发表日期2022
ISSN1674-9278
起始页码179
结束页码186
卷号13期号:2
英文摘要As the world seeks to increase ambition rapidly to limit global warming to 1.5 °C, joint leadership from the world's largest greenhouse gas (GHG) emitters—the United States (U.S.) and China—will be critical to deliver significant emissions reductions from their own countries as well as to catalyze increased international action. After a period of uncertainty in international climate policy, these countries now both have current leadership that supports ambitious climate action. In this context, a feasible, high-impact, and potentially globally catalytic agreement by the U.S. and China to transition away from coal to clean energy would be a major contribution toward this global effort. We undertake a plant-by-plant assessment in the power sector to identify practical coal retirement pathways for each country that are in line with national priorities and the global 1.5 °C target. Our plant-by-plant analysis shows that the 1.5 °C-compatible pathways may result in an average retirement age of 47 years for the U.S. coal plants and 22 years for Chinese coal plants, raising important questions of how to compare broader economic, employment, and social impacts. We also demonstrate that such pathways would also lead to significant emissions reductions, lowering overall global energy-related CO2 emissions by about 9% in 2030 relative to 2020. A catalytic effect from the possibility of other countries taking compatible actions is estimated to reduce global emissions by 5.1 Gt CO2 in 2030 and by 10.1 Gt CO2 in 2045. © 2021 The Authors
英文关键词Climate mitigation; Coal power transition; Integrated assessment modeling; Paris agreement; U.S.‒China
语种英语
来源期刊Advances in Climate Change Research
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/262086
作者单位Center for Global Sustainability, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, United States; Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD 20740, United States; School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, 102206, China; Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China
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Cui R.Y.; Hultman N.; Cui D.-Y.; Mcjeon H.; Clarke L.; Yuan J.-H.; Cai W.-J.. A U.S.‒China coal power transition and the global 1.5 °C pathway[J],2022,13(2).
APA Cui R.Y.; Hultman N.; Cui D.-Y.; Mcjeon H.; Clarke L.; Yuan J.-H.; Cai W.-J..(2022).A U.S.‒China coal power transition and the global 1.5 °C pathway.Advances in Climate Change Research,13(2).
MLA Cui R.Y.; Hultman N.; Cui D.-Y.; Mcjeon H.; Clarke L.; Yuan J.-H.; Cai W.-J.."A U.S.‒China coal power transition and the global 1.5 °C pathway".Advances in Climate Change Research 13.2(2022).
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