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| DOI | 10.1016/j.accre.2022.04.005 |
| A multi-model assessment of climate change damage in China and the world | |
| WANG T.-P.; TENG F. | |
| 发表日期 | 2022 |
| ISSN | 1674-9278 |
| 起始页码 | 385 |
| 结束页码 | 396 |
| 卷号 | 13期号:3 |
| 英文摘要 | Quantifying climate damage is essential to informing rational climate policies, but only a few studies have systematically compared the climate damage estimates made by different models, especially for China. In this study, we used three widely applied integrated assessment models—FUND, RICE, and PAGE—to estimate the damage under coupled shared socioeconomic pathways and representative concentration pathways (RCPs). Results show that the costs of climate damage constitute approximately 1.5% and 0.7% of China's GDP and global GDP per 1 °C temperature rise on average, respectively. Mitigation can reduce climate risk by lowering the average estimate and worst-case effects of climate damage. Compared with business-as-usual emissions (RCP8.5), the 2 °C target will reduce the average estimate of climate damage for China and the world by 93% and 87%, respectively, and by 80% and 84%, respectively, in the worst-case situation. Sectorial analysis of climate damage highlights the inconsistency of sector scope and significant parameter uncertainties in damage modules, requiring further improvement to integrate subfield research advances, particularly for damage related to rising sea levels and cooling energy demand. © 2022 The Authors |
| 英文关键词 | China; Climate damage; Integrated assessment models; Representative concentration pathways; Shared socioeconomic pathways |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 来源期刊 | Advances in Climate Change Research
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/262064 |
| 作者单位 | Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | WANG T.-P.； TENG F.. A multi-model assessment of climate change damage in China and the world[J],2022,13(3). |
| APA | WANG T.-P.； TENG F..(2022).A multi-model assessment of climate change damage in China and the world.Advances in Climate Change Research,13(3). |
| MLA | WANG T.-P.； TENG F.."A multi-model assessment of climate change damage in China and the world".Advances in Climate Change Research 13.3(2022). |
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