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DOI | 10.1093/nsr/nwab200 |
Anthropogenic emission is the main contributor to the rise of atmospheric methane during 1993-2017 | |
Zhang, Zhen; Poulter, Benjamin; Knox, Sara; Stavert, Ann; McNicol, Gavin; Fluet-Chouinard, Etienne; Feinberg, Aryeh; Zhao, Yuanhong; Bousquet, Philippe; Canadell, Josep G.; Ganesan, Anita; Hugelius, Gustaf; Hurtt, George; Jackson, Robert B.; Patra, Prabir K.; Saunois, Marielle; Hoeglund-Isaksson, Lena; Huang, Chunlin; Chatterjee, Abhishek; Li, Xin | |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Z (通讯作者) |
发表日期 | 2022 |
ISSN | 2095-5138 |
EISSN | 2053-714X |
卷号 | 9期号:5 |
英文摘要 | Nature or humans? Scenarios for constraining why atmospheric methane continues to rise point to agriculture and fossil fuels. Atmospheric methane (CH4) concentrations have shown a puzzling resumption in growth since 2007 following a period of stabilization from 2000 to 2006. Multiple hypotheses have been proposed to explain the temporal variations in CH4 growth, and attribute the rise of atmospheric CH4 either to increases in emissions from fossil fuel activities, agriculture and natural wetlands, or to a decrease in the atmospheric chemical sink. Here, we use a comprehensive ensemble of CH4 source estimates and isotopic delta C-13-CH4 source signature data to show that the resumption of CH4 growth is most likely due to increased anthropogenic emissions. Our emission scenarios that have the fewest biases with respect to isotopic composition suggest that the agriculture, landfill and waste sectors were responsible for 53 +/- 13% of the renewed growth over the period 2007-2017 compared to 2000-2006; industrial fossil fuel sources explained an additional 34 +/- 24%, and wetland sources contributed the least at 13 +/- 9%. The hypothesis that a large increase in emissions from natural wetlands drove the decrease in atmospheric delta C-13-CH4 values cannot be reconciled with current process-based wetland CH4 models. This finding suggests the need for increased wetland measurements to better understand the contemporary and future role of wetlands in the rise of atmospheric methane and climate feedback. Our findings highlight the predominant role of anthropogenic activities in driving the growth of atmospheric CH4 concentrations. |
关键词 | ISOTOPIC SOURCE SIGNATURESFOSSIL-FUELCH4 EMISSIONSBUDGETMODELVARIABILITYINCREASEGROWTHPREINDUSTRIALCONSTRAINTS |
英文关键词 | greenhouse gas; carbon cycle; climate mitigation; wetland; methane isotope |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000763990300001 |
来源期刊 | NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW |
来源机构 | 中国科学院青藏高原研究所 |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/260784 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Zhen,Poulter, Benjamin,Knox, Sara,et al. Anthropogenic emission is the main contributor to the rise of atmospheric methane during 1993-2017[J]. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,2022,9(5). |
APA | Zhang, Zhen.,Poulter, Benjamin.,Knox, Sara.,Stavert, Ann.,McNicol, Gavin.,...&Li, Xin.(2022).Anthropogenic emission is the main contributor to the rise of atmospheric methane during 1993-2017.NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW,9(5). |
MLA | Zhang, Zhen,et al."Anthropogenic emission is the main contributor to the rise of atmospheric methane during 1993-2017".NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW 9.5(2022). |
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