气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change may cause distribution area loss for tree species in southern China

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.foreco.2022.120134
	Climate change may cause distribution area loss for tree species in southern China
	Guo, Yanlong; Zhao, Zefang; Zhu, Fuxin; Li, Xin
通讯作者	Li, X (通讯作者)
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0378-1127
EISSN	1872-7042
卷号	511
英文摘要	Climate change will cause a range shift in tree species, which will create challenges for forest management, utilization and preservation in the future; hence, it is worthy of more attention, especially at the regional scale. Here, we selected 56 common cultured tree species in southern China and employed a comprehensive habitat suitability model to analyse the changes in the potential planting areas of these species at baseline and in different future climate change scenarios. The results indicated that climatic variable changes, especially a change in the mean diurnal temperature range greater than +/- 0.25 degrees C, will cause a decrease in the distribution area of most tree species in southern China. With the projected temperature rise, the number of species with habitat loss and the rate of distribution area loss will increase significantly. In the most intense warming scenarios, 22 tree species will lose more than 50% of their potential distribution area compared with that in the baseline condition. Additionally, increasing temperatures are expected to cause species diversity loss in the study area. This phenomenon will generate an increase in wood gaps, environmental degradation and the risk of alien species invasion. Mountainous areas in southern China may provide a refuge for tree species in the context of global warming. In future planting initiatives and forest management strategies, the range shifts and distribution area loss for tree species should be fully considered.
关键词	DISTRIBUTION MODELS GEOGRAPHICAL-DISTRIBUTION IMPACTS VARIABLES SELECTION ACCURACY BENEFITS
英文关键词	Common trees; Habitat loss; Climate change; Comprehensive habitat suitability model; Biodiversity loss
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Forestry
WOS类目	Forestry
WOS记录号	WOS:000782304100001
来源期刊	FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT
来源机构	中国科学院青藏高原研究所
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/260561
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guo, Yanlong,Zhao, Zefang,Zhu, Fuxin,et al. Climate change may cause distribution area loss for tree species in southern China[J]. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,2022,511.
APA	Guo, Yanlong,Zhao, Zefang,Zhu, Fuxin,&Li, Xin.(2022).Climate change may cause distribution area loss for tree species in southern China.FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT,511.
MLA	Guo, Yanlong,et al."Climate change may cause distribution area loss for tree species in southern China".FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT 511(2022).