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DOI10.1038/s41558-021-01074-x
Climate change decisive for Asia's snow meltwater supply
Kraaijenbrink, Philip D. A.; Stigter, Emmy E.; Yao, Tandong; Immerzeel, Walter W.
通讯作者Kraaijenbrink, PDA (通讯作者)
发表日期2021
ISSN1758-678X
EISSN1758-6798
起始页码591
结束页码+
卷号11期号:7
英文摘要Streamflow in high-mountain Asia is influenced by meltwater from snow and glaciers, and determining impacts of climate change on the region's cryosphere is essential to understand future water supply. Past and future changes in seasonal snow are of particular interest, as specifics at the scale of the full region are largely unknown. Here we combine models with observations to show that regional snowmelt is a more important contributor to streamflow than glacier melt, that snowmelt magnitude and timing changed considerably during 1979-2019 and that future snow meltwater supply may decrease drastically. The expected changes are strongly dependent on the degree of climate change, however, and large variations exist among river basins. The projected response of snowmelt to climate change indicates that to sustain the important seasonal buffering role of the snowpacks in high-mountain Asia, it is imperative to limit future climate change. High-mountain Asia streamflow is strongly impacted by snow and glacier melt. A regional model, combined with observations and climate projections, shows snowmelt decreased during 1979-2019 and was more dominant than glacier melt, and projections suggest declines that vary by river basin.
关键词GLACIER MASS BALANCESPRECIPITATION DATASETSWATER EQUIVALENTWESTERN HIMALAYATIBETAN PLATEAUSEASONAL SNOWMODELTEMPERATUREMELTCOVER
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000665801000001
来源期刊NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
来源机构中国科学院青藏高原研究所
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/260195
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Kraaijenbrink, Philip D. A.,Stigter, Emmy E.,Yao, Tandong,et al. Climate change decisive for Asia's snow meltwater supply[J]. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,2021,11(7).
APA Kraaijenbrink, Philip D. A.,Stigter, Emmy E.,Yao, Tandong,&Immerzeel, Walter W..(2021).Climate change decisive for Asia's snow meltwater supply.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,11(7).
MLA Kraaijenbrink, Philip D. A.,et al."Climate change decisive for Asia's snow meltwater supply".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 11.7(2021).
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