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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-021-01074-x |
Climate change decisive for Asia's snow meltwater supply | |
Kraaijenbrink, Philip D. A.; Stigter, Emmy E.; Yao, Tandong; Immerzeel, Walter W. | |
通讯作者 | Kraaijenbrink, PDA (通讯作者) |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
起始页码 | 591 |
结束页码 | + |
卷号 | 11期号:7 |
英文摘要 | Streamflow in high-mountain Asia is influenced by meltwater from snow and glaciers, and determining impacts of climate change on the region's cryosphere is essential to understand future water supply. Past and future changes in seasonal snow are of particular interest, as specifics at the scale of the full region are largely unknown. Here we combine models with observations to show that regional snowmelt is a more important contributor to streamflow than glacier melt, that snowmelt magnitude and timing changed considerably during 1979-2019 and that future snow meltwater supply may decrease drastically. The expected changes are strongly dependent on the degree of climate change, however, and large variations exist among river basins. The projected response of snowmelt to climate change indicates that to sustain the important seasonal buffering role of the snowpacks in high-mountain Asia, it is imperative to limit future climate change. High-mountain Asia streamflow is strongly impacted by snow and glacier melt. A regional model, combined with observations and climate projections, shows snowmelt decreased during 1979-2019 and was more dominant than glacier melt, and projections suggest declines that vary by river basin. |
关键词 | GLACIER MASS BALANCESPRECIPITATION DATASETSWATER EQUIVALENTWESTERN HIMALAYATIBETAN PLATEAUSEASONAL SNOWMODELTEMPERATUREMELTCOVER |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000665801000001 |
来源期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
来源机构 | 中国科学院青藏高原研究所 |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/260195 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kraaijenbrink, Philip D. A.,Stigter, Emmy E.,Yao, Tandong,et al. Climate change decisive for Asia's snow meltwater supply[J]. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,2021,11(7). |
APA | Kraaijenbrink, Philip D. A.,Stigter, Emmy E.,Yao, Tandong,&Immerzeel, Walter W..(2021).Climate change decisive for Asia's snow meltwater supply.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,11(7). |
MLA | Kraaijenbrink, Philip D. A.,et al."Climate change decisive for Asia's snow meltwater supply".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 11.7(2021). |
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