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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-020-0841-x |
Short-lived climate forcers have long-term climate impacts via the carbon-climate feedback | |
Fu, Bo; Gasser, Thomas; Li, Bengang; Tao, Shu; Ciais, Philippe; Piao, Shilong; Balkanski, Yves; Li, Wei; Yin, Tianya; Han, Luchao; Li, Xinyue; Han, Yunman; An, Jie; Peng, Siyuan; Xu, Jing | |
通讯作者 | Li, BG (通讯作者) |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
起始页码 | 851 |
结束页码 | + |
卷号 | 10期号:9 |
英文摘要 | Short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) like methane, ozone and aerosols have a shorter atmospheric lifetime than CO2 and are often assumed to have a short-term effect on the climate system: should their emissions cease, so would their radiative forcing (RF). However, via their climate impact, SLCFs can affect carbon sinks and atmospheric CO2 causing additional climate change. Here, we use a compact Earth system model to attribute CO2 RF to direct CO2 emissions and to climate-carbon feedbacks since the pre-industrial era. We estimate the climate-carbon feedback contributed 93 +/- 50 mW m(-2) (similar to 5%) to total RF of CO2 in 2010. Of this, SLCF impacts were -13 +/- 50 mW m(-2), made up of cooling (-115 +/- 43 mW m(-2)) and warming (102 +/- 26 mW m(-2)) terms that largely cancel. This study illustrates the long-term impact that short-lived species have on climate and indicates that past (and future) change in atmospheric CO2 cannot be attributed only to CO2 emissions. |
关键词 | ATMOSPHERIC CO2SYSTEM MODELLANDCYCLEEMISSIONSAEROSOLSFORESTMITIGATIONDEPOSITIONNITROGEN |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000548163400003 |
来源期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
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来源机构 | 中国科学院青藏高原研究所 |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/260065 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Fu, Bo,Gasser, Thomas,Li, Bengang,et al. Short-lived climate forcers have long-term climate impacts via the carbon-climate feedback[J]. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,2020,10(9). |
APA | Fu, Bo.,Gasser, Thomas.,Li, Bengang.,Tao, Shu.,Ciais, Philippe.,...&Xu, Jing.(2020).Short-lived climate forcers have long-term climate impacts via the carbon-climate feedback.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,10(9). |
MLA | Fu, Bo,et al."Short-lived climate forcers have long-term climate impacts via the carbon-climate feedback".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 10.9(2020). |
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