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DOI | 10.1002/ece3.6117 |
Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model | |
Zhao, Zefang; Guo, Yanlong; Wei, Haiyan; Ran, Qiao; Liu, Jing; Zhang, Quanzhong; Gu, Wei | |
通讯作者 | Wei, HY (通讯作者) |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 2045-7758 |
起始页码 | 3004 |
结束页码 | 3016 |
卷号 | 10期号:6 |
英文摘要 | Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang is a rare and endangered traditional Chinese medicinal plant. In this research, we built a comprehensive habitat suitability (CHS) model to analyze the potential suitable habitat distribution of this species in the present and future in China. First, using nine different algorithms, we built an ensemble model to explore the possible impacts of climate change on the habitat distribution of this species. Then, based on this model, we built a CHS model to further identify the distribution characteristics of N. incisum-suitable habitats in three time periods (current, 2050s, and 2070s) while considering the effects of soil and vegetation conditions. The results indicated that the current suitable habitat for N. incisum covers approximately 83.76 x 10(3) km(2), and these locations were concentrated in the Tibet Autonomous Region, Gansu Province, Qinghai Province, and Sichuan Province. In the future, the areas of suitable habitat for N. incisum would significantly decrease and would be 69.53 x 10(3) km(2) and 60.21 x 10(3) km(2) in the 2050s and 2070s, respectively. However, the area of marginally suitable habitat would remain relatively stable. This study provides a more reliable and comprehensive method for modelling the current and future distributions of N. incisum, and it provides valuable insights for highlighting priority areas for medicinal plant conservation and resource utilization. |
关键词 | SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONVULNERABILITYIMPACTSBASINRIVER |
英文关键词 | climate change; ensemble model; Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H; T; Chang; potential distribution; species distribution models |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000521040300021 |
来源期刊 | ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION |
来源机构 | 中国科学院青藏高原研究所 |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/259827 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhao, Zefang,Guo, Yanlong,Wei, Haiyan,et al. Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model[J]. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,2020,10(6). |
APA | Zhao, Zefang.,Guo, Yanlong.,Wei, Haiyan.,Ran, Qiao.,Liu, Jing.,...&Gu, Wei.(2020).Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model.ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,10(6). |
MLA | Zhao, Zefang,et al."Potential distribution of Notopterygium incisum Ting ex H. T. Chang and its predicted responses to climate change based on a comprehensive habitat suitability model".ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION 10.6(2020). |
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