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DOI10.1002/2013JG002449
Large-scale estimation and uncertainty analysis of gross primary production in Tibetan alpine grasslands
He, Honglin; Liu, Min; Xiao, Xiangming; Ren, Xiaoli; Zhang, Li; Sun, Xiaomin; Yang, Yuanhe; Li, Yingnian; Zhao, Liang; Shi, Peili; Du, Mingyuan; Ma, Yaoming; Ma, Mingguo; Zhang, Yu; Yu, Guirui
通讯作者Yu, GR (通讯作者)
发表日期2014
ISSN2169-8953
EISSN2169-8961
起始页码466
结束页码486
卷号119期号:3
英文摘要Gross primary production (GPP) is an important parameter for carbon cycle and climate change research. Previous estimations of GPP on the Tibetan Plateau were usually reported without quantitative uncertainty analyses. This study sought to quantify the uncertainty and its partitioning in GPP estimation across Tibetan alpine grasslands during 2003-2008 with the modified Vegetation Photosynthesis Model (VPM). Monte Carlo analysis was used to provide a quantitative assessment of the uncertainty in model simulations, and Sobol' variance decomposition method was applied to determine the relative contribution of each source of uncertainty to the total uncertainty. The results showed that the modified VPM successfully reproduced the seasonal dynamics and magnitude of GPP of 10 flux tower sites on the plateau (R-2=0.77-0.95, p < 0.001). The 6 year mean GPP in Tibetan alpine grasslands was estimated at 223.3 Tg C yr(-1) (312.3g C m(-2)yr(-1)). The mean annual GPP increased from western to eastern plateau, with the increase of annual temperature and precipitation and the decrease of elevation, while the decrease of GPP from southern to northern plateau was primarily driven by air temperature. Furthermore, the mean relative uncertainty of the annual GPP was 18.30%, with larger uncertainty occurring in regions with lower GPP. Photosynthetic active radiation, enhanced vegetation index, and the maximum light use efficiency (LUE) are the primary sources of uncertainty in GPP estimation, contributing 36.84%, 26.86%, and 21.99%, respectively. This emphasizes the importance of uncertainty in driving variables as well as that of maximum LUE in LUE model simulation.
关键词LIGHT-USE-EFFICIENCYNET ECOSYSTEM EXCHANGETERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMSSENSITIVITY-ANALYSISDATA ASSIMILATIONFLUX MEASUREMENTSCOMBINING MODISCO2 EXCHANGETIME-SERIESMODEL
英文关键词Tibetan alpine grasslands; Vegetation Photosynthesis Model (VPM); Eddy Covariance; Uncertainty analysis
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS记录号WOS:000334534500020
来源期刊JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES
来源机构中国科学院青藏高原研究所
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/258401
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
He, Honglin,Liu, Min,Xiao, Xiangming,et al. Large-scale estimation and uncertainty analysis of gross primary production in Tibetan alpine grasslands[J]. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,2014,119(3).
APA He, Honglin.,Liu, Min.,Xiao, Xiangming.,Ren, Xiaoli.,Zhang, Li.,...&Yu, Guirui.(2014).Large-scale estimation and uncertainty analysis of gross primary production in Tibetan alpine grasslands.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES,119(3).
MLA He, Honglin,et al."Large-scale estimation and uncertainty analysis of gross primary production in Tibetan alpine grasslands".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES 119.3(2014).
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