气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Environmental resistance predicts the spread of alien species

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DOI	10.1038/s41559-020-01376-x
	Environmental resistance predicts the spread of alien species
	Lovell R.S.L.; Blackburn T.M.; Dyer E.E.; Pigot A.L.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2397-334X
起始页码	322
结束页码	329
卷号	5 期号:3
英文摘要	The unabating rise in the number of species introduced outside of their native range makes predicting the spread of alien species an urgent challenge. Most predictions use models of the ecological niche of a species to identify suitable areas for invasion, but these predictions may have limited accuracy. Here, using the global alien avifauna, we demonstrate an alternative approach for predicting alien spread based on the environmental resistance of the landscape. This approach does not require any information on the ecological niche of the invading species and, instead, uses gradients of biotic similarity among native communities in the invaded region to predict the most likely routes of spread. We show that environmental resistance predicts patterns of spread better than a null model of random dispersal or a model based on climate matching to the native range of each species. Applying this approach to simulate future spread reveals major regional differences in projected invasion risk, shaped by proximity to existing invasion hotspots as well as gradients in environmental resistance. Our results show how environmental resistance may provide a general and complementary approach for predicting invasion risk that can be rapidly deployed even when information on the niche or the identity of potential invaders is unknown. ? 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate; ecosystem; introduced species; Climate; Ecosystem; Introduced Species
来源期刊	Nature Ecology & Evolution
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/257015
作者单位	Centre for Biodiversity and Environment Research, Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, University College London, London, United Kingdom; Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, London, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lovell R.S.L.,Blackburn T.M.,Dyer E.E.,et al. Environmental resistance predicts the spread of alien species[J],2021,5(3).
APA	Lovell R.S.L.,Blackburn T.M.,Dyer E.E.,&Pigot A.L..(2021).Environmental resistance predicts the spread of alien species.Nature Ecology & Evolution,5(3).
MLA	Lovell R.S.L.,et al."Environmental resistance predicts the spread of alien species".Nature Ecology & Evolution 5.3(2021).