气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The intensification of winter mid-latitude storm tracks in the Southern Hemisphere

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-022-01368-8
	The intensification of winter mid-latitude storm tracks in the Southern Hemisphere
	Chemke R.; Ming Y.; Yuval J.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	1758-678X
英文摘要	The strength of mid-latitude storm tracks shapes weather and climate phenomena in the extra-tropics, as these storm tracks control the daily to multi-decadal variability of precipitation, temperature and winds. By the end of this century, winter mid-latitude storms are projected to intensify in the Southern Hemisphere, with large consequences over the entire extra-tropics. Therefore, it is critical to be able to accurately assess the impacts of anthropogenic emissions on these storms to improve societal preparedness for future changes. Here we show that current climate models severely underestimate the intensification in mid-latitude storm tracks in recent decades. Specifically, the intensification obtained from reanalyses has already reached the model-projected end-of-the-century intensification. The biased intensification is found to be linked to biases in the zonal flow. These results question the ability of climate models to accurately predict the future impacts of anthropogenic emissions in the Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256774
作者单位	Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot, Israel; NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States; Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, MIT, Cambridge, MA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chemke R.,Ming Y.,Yuval J.. The intensification of winter mid-latitude storm tracks in the Southern Hemisphere[J],2022.
APA	Chemke R.,Ming Y.,&Yuval J..(2022).The intensification of winter mid-latitude storm tracks in the Southern Hemisphere.Nature Climate Change.
MLA	Chemke R.,et al."The intensification of winter mid-latitude storm tracks in the Southern Hemisphere".Nature Climate Change (2022).