气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Inequitable patterns of US flood risk in the Anthropocene

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-021-01265-6
	Inequitable patterns of US flood risk in the Anthropocene
	Wing O.E.J.; Lehman W.; Bates P.D.; Sampson C.C.; Quinn N.; Smith A.M.; Neal J.C.; Porter J.R.; Kousky C.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	156
结束页码	162
卷号	12 期号:2
英文摘要	Current flood risk mapping, relying on historical observations, fails to account for increasing threat under climate change. Incorporating recent developments in inundation modelling, here we show a 26.4% (24.1–29.1%) increase in US flood risk by 2050 due to climate change alone under RCP4.5. Our national depiction of comprehensive and high-resolution flood risk estimates in the United States indicates current average annual losses of US$32.1 billion (US$30.5–33.8 billion) in 2020’s climate, which are borne disproportionately by poorer communities with a proportionally larger White population. The future increase in risk will disproportionately impact Black communities, while remaining concentrated on the Atlantic and Gulf coasts. Furthermore, projected population change (SSP2) could cause flood risk increases that outweigh the impact of climate change fourfold. These results make clear the need for adaptation to flood and emergent climate risks in the United States, with mitigation required to prevent the acceleration of these risks. © 2022, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adaptive management; Anthropocene; climate change; flood frequency; mitigation; modeling; risk assessment; Atlantic Ocean; Gulf; Papua New Guinea; United States; United States
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256764
作者单位	Fathom, Bristol, United Kingdom; School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom; Hydrologic Engineering Center, US Army Corps of Engineers, Davis, CA, United States; First Street Foundation, Brooklyn, NY, United States; Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States; Quantitative Methods in the Social Sciences, City University of New York, New York, NY, United States; Wharton Risk Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wing O.E.J.,Lehman W.,Bates P.D.,et al. Inequitable patterns of US flood risk in the Anthropocene[J],2022,12(2).
APA	Wing O.E.J..,Lehman W..,Bates P.D..,Sampson C.C..,Quinn N..,...&Kousky C..(2022).Inequitable patterns of US flood risk in the Anthropocene.Nature Climate Change,12(2).
MLA	Wing O.E.J.,et al."Inequitable patterns of US flood risk in the Anthropocene".Nature Climate Change 12.2(2022).