气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Threat by marine heatwaves to adaptive large marine ecosystems in an eddy-resolving model

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-021-01266-5
	Threat by marine heatwaves to adaptive large marine ecosystems in an eddy-resolving model
	Guo X.; Gao Y.; Zhang S.; Wu L.; Chang P.; Cai W.; Zscheischler J.; Leung L.R.; Small J.; Danabasoglu G.; Thompson L.; Gao H.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	179
结束页码	186
卷号	12 期号:2
英文摘要	Marine heatwaves (MHWs), episodic periods of abnormally high sea surface temperature, severely affect marine ecosystems. Large marine ecosystems (LMEs) cover ~22% of the global ocean but account for 95% of global fisheries catches. Yet how climate change affects MHWs over LMEs remains unknown because such LMEs are confined to the coast where low-resolution climate models are known to have biases. Here, using a high-resolution Earth system model and applying a ‘future threshold’ that considers MHWs as anomalous warming above the long-term mean warming of sea surface temperatures, we find that future intensity and annual days of MHWs over the majority of the LMEs remain higher than in the present-day climate. Better resolution of ocean mesoscale eddies enables simulation of more realistic MHWs than low-resolution models. These increases in MHWs under global warming pose a serious threat to LMEs, even if resident organisms could adapt fully to the long-term mean warming. © 2022, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; climate modeling; global ocean; global warming; heat wave; marine ecosystem; sea surface; sea surface temperature
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256761
作者单位	Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System, and Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science and Ecology, Ministry of Education, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China; Laboratory for Ocean Dynamics and Climate, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao, China; International Laboratory for High‐Resolution Earth System Prediction (iHESP), College Station, TX, United States; Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography, Institute for Advanced Ocean Study, Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES), College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China; Department of Oceanography, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, United States; Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research (CSHOR), CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, TAS, Australia; Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography and Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System, Ocean University of China an...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guo X.,Gao Y.,Zhang S.,et al. Threat by marine heatwaves to adaptive large marine ecosystems in an eddy-resolving model[J],2022,12(2).
APA	Guo X..,Gao Y..,Zhang S..,Wu L..,Chang P..,...&Gao H..(2022).Threat by marine heatwaves to adaptive large marine ecosystems in an eddy-resolving model.Nature Climate Change,12(2).
MLA	Guo X.,et al."Threat by marine heatwaves to adaptive large marine ecosystems in an eddy-resolving model".Nature Climate Change 12.2(2022).