气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): African heritage sites threatened as sea-level rise accelerates

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-022-01280-1
	African heritage sites threatened as sea-level rise accelerates
	Vousdoukas M.I.; Clarke J.; Ranasinghe R.; Reimann L.; Khalaf N.; Duong T.M.; Ouweneel B.; Sabour S.; Iles C.E.; Trisos C.H.; Feyen L.; Mentaschi L.; Simpson N.P.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	256
结束页码	262
卷号	12 期号:3
英文摘要	The African coast contains heritage sites of ‘Outstanding Universal Value’ that face increasing risk from anthropogenic climate change. Here, we generated a database of 213 natural and 71 cultural African heritage sites to assess exposure to coastal flooding and erosion under moderate (RCP 4.5) and high (RCP 8.5) greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Currently, 56 sites (20%) are at risk from a 1-in-100-year coastal extreme event, including the iconic ruins of Tipasa (Algeria) and the North Sinai Archaeological Sites Zone (Egypt). By 2050, the number of exposed sites is projected to more than triple, reaching almost 200 sites under high emissions. Emissions mitigation from RCP 8.5 to RCP 4.5 reduces the number of very highly exposed sites by 25%. These findings highlight the urgent need for increased climate change adaptation for heritage sites in Africa, including governance and management approaches, site-specific vulnerability assessments, exposure monitoring, and protection strategies. © 2022, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	adaptive management; anthropogenic effect; climate change; endangered species; extreme event; flooding; greenhouse gas; sea level change; spatiotemporal analysis; strategic approach; vulnerability; Algeria; Egypt; Shamal Sina; Shamal Sina
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256748
作者单位	Joint Research Centre (JRC), European Commission, Seville, Spain; School of Art, Media and American Studies, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; Department of Coastal and Urban Risk & Resilience, IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, Netherlands; Water Engineering and Management, University of Twente, Enschede, Netherlands; Harbour, Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Deltares, Delft, Netherlands; Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Institute of Arab and Islamic Studies, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom; African Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Faculty of Engineering and Physical Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom; Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France; Centre for Statistics in Ec...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Vousdoukas M.I.,Clarke J.,Ranasinghe R.,et al. African heritage sites threatened as sea-level rise accelerates[J],2022,12(3).
APA	Vousdoukas M.I..,Clarke J..,Ranasinghe R..,Reimann L..,Khalaf N..,...&Simpson N.P..(2022).African heritage sites threatened as sea-level rise accelerates.Nature Climate Change,12(3).
MLA	Vousdoukas M.I.,et al."African heritage sites threatened as sea-level rise accelerates".Nature Climate Change 12.3(2022).