气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate skepticism decreases when the planet gets hotter and conservative support wanes

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DOI	10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102492
	Climate skepticism decreases when the planet gets hotter and conservative support wanes
	Hornsey M.J.; Chapman C.M.; Humphrey J.E.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0959-3780
卷号	74
英文摘要	Identifying historical patterns of fluctuation in climate change skepticism guides researchers, policy makers, and science communicators in efforts to catalyze change in the future. We analyzed data from 25 nationally representative polls collected in Australia from 2009 to 2019 (N = 20,655). Although it remains concerningly high, climate skepticism trended down in that 10-year period, particularly among conservatives. Multilevel analyses identified two variables that stood out as being relevant in explaining that trajectory. First, climate change skepticism was positively associated with support for conservative political parties in national polls. Second, climate change skepticism was negatively associated with the annual global temperatures the previous year. There was little evidence that climate change beliefs were associated with economic variables or with seasonal variations in temperature. Furthermore, there was only weak evidence that climate change beliefs were associated with national temperatures. This suggests that global temperatures in the previous year are impactful because of their informational value (as a communication heuristic for the urgency and immediacy of climate change) more so than for their experiential value (in the sense of people actually experiencing warmer weather). Importantly, the effect of previous global temperature was particularly pronounced among those with the strongest levels of skepticism: political conservatives. This suggests that rising global annual temperatures have the power to update beliefs among those most in need of converting to the climate cause. © 2022 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Climate skepticism; Political ideology; Rejection of science
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; communication; conservation management; policy making; Australia
来源期刊	Global Environmental Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256648
作者单位	University of Queensland Business School, St Lucia, 4072, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hornsey M.J.,Chapman C.M.,Humphrey J.E.. Climate skepticism decreases when the planet gets hotter and conservative support wanes[J],2022,74.
APA	Hornsey M.J.,Chapman C.M.,&Humphrey J.E..(2022).Climate skepticism decreases when the planet gets hotter and conservative support wanes.Global Environmental Change,74.
MLA	Hornsey M.J.,et al."Climate skepticism decreases when the planet gets hotter and conservative support wanes".Global Environmental Change 74(2022).