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DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112556
Socio-macroeconomic impacts of implementing different post-Brexit UK energy reduction targets to 2030
Nieto J.; Pollitt H.; Brockway P.E.; Clements L.; Sakai M.; Barrett J.
发表日期2021
ISSN0301-4215
卷号158
英文摘要For the period since 2011, the UK has been bound by European Union (EU) legislation regarding energy reduction targets to 2020. As of 2019, the UK had reduced its final energy use by 18% against a baseline projection to 2020, on track to meet its target of 18%. Whilst the rest of the EU-27 now set their own energy reduction targets to 2030, upon leaving the EU via Brexit, the UK is now free to choose its own energy targets. But what should the energy target be for 2030, and what are the socio-macroeconomic impacts and policy implications? To address this, we use two econometric energy-economy models to assess three different levels of energy reduction target, with 27%, 33% and 40% reduction in 2030 versus the baseline model projections. We find the strictest (40%) energy reduction target could deliver the largest economic and employment benefits. However, careful attention to policies are required, to ensure improvements to overall economy-wide energy efficiency whilst minimising rebound. Demand-side policies of serious scale within an ‘avoid-shift-improve’ framework are required, including massive building retrofits, significant improvements to industrial energy efficiency, switching to low energy transport modes, and moving away from meat-based diets. © 2021 The Authors
英文关键词Demand-side reduction; Energy efficiency; Energy modelling; Energy policy; Energy target; UK
语种英语
scopus关键词Economics; Energy policy; Energy utilization; % reductions; Demand-side; Demand-side reduction; Energy model; Energy reduction; Energy targets; European union; Macroeconomic impact; Reduction targets; UK; Energy efficiency; energy efficiency; energy policy; European Union; macroeconomics; policy approach; policy implementation; socioeconomic impact; targeting; Europe; United Kingdom
来源期刊Energy Policy
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256532
作者单位Sustainability Research Institute, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, United Kingdom; Cambridge Econometrics Ltd, Covent Garden, Cambridge, UK, United Kingdom; Department of Environment and Geography, University of York, YO10, 5DDUK, United Kingdom; Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance (C-EENRG), University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK, United Kingdom
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Nieto J.,Pollitt H.,Brockway P.E.,et al. Socio-macroeconomic impacts of implementing different post-Brexit UK energy reduction targets to 2030[J],2021,158.
APA Nieto J.,Pollitt H.,Brockway P.E.,Clements L.,Sakai M.,&Barrett J..(2021).Socio-macroeconomic impacts of implementing different post-Brexit UK energy reduction targets to 2030.Energy Policy,158.
MLA Nieto J.,et al."Socio-macroeconomic impacts of implementing different post-Brexit UK energy reduction targets to 2030".Energy Policy 158(2021).
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