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DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112553
	Assessing the food vs. fuel issue: An agent-based simulation
	Brown B.; Schoney R.; Nolan J.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0301-4215
卷号	159
英文摘要	Energy security and environmental concerns are critical issues for North America. The development of the bio-fuel industry has given grain farmers another crop option. Trends towards renewable fuels could also put fuel production at odds with traditional food agriculture, a situation referred to as the “food vs. fuel” debate. This research models profit maximizing farm crop choices as energy crops become a crop option. We develop a simulation to estimate the oil price level where farmers would switch from the production of grain for food over to bio-energy crops. We also investigate consequences associated with this process on the elevator industry. Using a major crop production region in Canada as a template, we estimate that real annual crude oil prices must remain consistently 30% above the (2008) peak oil price before most farmers in the region would switch over to the production of wheat for biofuel. If government biofuel support falls from current levels, a considerably higher oil price would be needed to entice farmers to switch. As the production of food grain decreases, we also observe that the grain handling industry will gradually “shake out” and likely be characterized by much higher elevator firm concentration than exists currently. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Agriculture; Biofuel; Simulation
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Biofuels; Cultivation; Elevators; Energy security; Grain (agricultural product); Oils and fats; Agent based simulation; Bio-fuels; Critical issues; Environmental concerns; Fuel industries; Fuel production; Oil Prices; Renewable fuels; Simulation; Traditional food; Crops; alternative energy; bioenergy; biofuel; computer simulation; crude oil; energy crop; energy resource; environmental impact; food production; food security; fuel consumption; numerical model; price dynamics; Canada; North America
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256483
作者单位	Alberta Pork, Edmonton, AB, Canada; Dept. of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Brown B.,Schoney R.,Nolan J.. Assessing the food vs. fuel issue: An agent-based simulation[J],2021,159.
APA	Brown B.,Schoney R.,&Nolan J..(2021).Assessing the food vs. fuel issue: An agent-based simulation.Energy Policy,159.
MLA	Brown B.,et al."Assessing the food vs. fuel issue: An agent-based simulation".Energy Policy 159(2021).