气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Geopolitical risk and China's oil security

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112856
	Geopolitical risk and China's oil security
	Gong X.; Sun Y.; Du Z.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0301-4215
卷号	163
英文摘要	This paper aims to make a comprehensive evaluation of China's oil situation from 2000 to 2018. We establish an evaluation framework from three dimensions of oil supply, oil consumption and oil ecology, and calculate the comprehensive score and scores of three dimensions. Results show that the comprehensive score of China's oil security increased from 0.3 to about 0.6 in 2000–2018. After rapid growth from 2003 to 2008, the oil supply security score stabilized at the level of 0.6. In general, China's oil security situation is steadily improving. Further, ADL-MIDAS model is employed to investigate the impact of four types of geopolitical risks (GPRs) on China's oil security. The findings suggest that GPRs have negative effects on China's comprehensive oil security. In the robustness tests, these effects don't change with adjustments to the assessment framework, changes in subjective weights, or the choice of regression models. The impacts of GPRs on China's oil security are mainly realized through the oil supply dimension. GPRs threatening China's oil security are reflected in oil interruption in the international market. Finally, the paper puts forward several policy implications from the perspective of oil security assessment and GPRs. © 2022 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	ADL-MIADS model; China's oil security; Geopolitical risk; Oil ecology security
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Ecology; International trade; Public policy; ADL-MIADS model; China oil security; Comprehensive evaluation; Ecology security; Evaluation framework; Geopolitical risks; Oil ecology security; Oil security; Oil supplies; Three dimensions; Regression analysis; fuel consumption; geopolitics; numerical model; oil supply; regression analysis; risk factor; China
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256302
作者单位	School of Management, China Institute for Studies in Energy Policy, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361005, China; Innovation Laboratory for Sciences and Technologies of Energy Materials of Fujian Province (IKKEM), Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361101, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gong X.,Sun Y.,Du Z.. Geopolitical risk and China's oil security[J],2022,163.
APA	Gong X.,Sun Y.,&Du Z..(2022).Geopolitical risk and China's oil security.Energy Policy,163.
MLA	Gong X.,et al."Geopolitical risk and China's oil security".Energy Policy 163(2022).