气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Assessing proliferation uncertainty in civilian nuclear cooperation under new power dynamics of the international nuclear trade

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DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112852
	Assessing proliferation uncertainty in civilian nuclear cooperation under new power dynamics of the international nuclear trade
	Kim P.; Kim J.; Yim M.-S.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0301-4215
卷号	163
英文摘要	By analyzing bilateral cooperation involving civilian nuclear technology from 2000 to 2015, this study finds potential proliferation uncertainty in recent technological nuclear cooperation. We use the dataset that divides technological nuclear cooperation into two categories - concrete and supportive, where concrete cooperation involves the more in-depth transfer of technology related to nuclear power and fuel cycle than supportive cooperation. We employ multinomial regression analysis to investigate what economic, political, military, and non-proliferation considerations enable more concrete nuclear cooperation. Our empirical results suggest that potential proliferation uncertainty exists in concrete cooperation. While concrete nuclear cooperation, in general, requires compliance with non-proliferation norms more strictly than supportive cooperation, examining military factors together with the compliance to the non-proliferation norms shows some concerns. Specifically, we find that suppliers of concrete nuclear cooperation have overlooked weak compliance with some non-proliferation norms when there exist common military interests. We also show that client countries with high military expenditure are more likely to engage in more concrete nuclear cooperation. Lastly, we find that supplier and client countries tend to complement their weak military alliance with more concrete nuclear cooperation. The findings underscore the responsibility of major suppliers and the international community for nuclear non-proliferation. © 2022 Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Non-proliferation norms; Nuclear cooperation; Proliferation uncertainty
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Nuclear energy; Nuclear fuels; Regression analysis; Uncertainty analysis; Bilateral cooperation; Non-proliferation; Non-proliferation norm; Nuclear cooperation; Nuclear technology; Power cycle; Power dynamics; Proliferation uncertainty; Transfer of technology; Uncertainty; Concretes; assessment method; energy policy; international trade; nuclear power; uncertainty analysis
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256300
作者单位	Department of Nuclear and Quantum Engineering, KAIST, 291 Daehak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon, 34141, South Korea; School of Business and Technology Management, College of Business, KAIST, 291 Daehak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon, 34141, South Korea; Institute for Basic Science, 55 Expo-ro, Daejeon, Yuseong-gu, 34126, South Korea
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kim P.,Kim J.,Yim M.-S.. Assessing proliferation uncertainty in civilian nuclear cooperation under new power dynamics of the international nuclear trade[J],2022,163.
APA	Kim P.,Kim J.,&Yim M.-S..(2022).Assessing proliferation uncertainty in civilian nuclear cooperation under new power dynamics of the international nuclear trade.Energy Policy,163.
MLA	Kim P.,et al."Assessing proliferation uncertainty in civilian nuclear cooperation under new power dynamics of the international nuclear trade".Energy Policy 163(2022).