气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Uncertainty analysis of ecosystem services and implications for environmental management-An experiment in the Heihe River Basin, China

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153481
	Uncertainty analysis of ecosystem services and implications for environmental management-An experiment in the Heihe River Basin, China
	Wang, Bei; Li, Xin; Ma, Chun-Feng; Zhu, Gao-Feng; Luan, Wen-Fei; Zhong, Jun-Tao; Tan, Mei-Bao; Fu, Jing
通讯作者	Li, X (通讯作者)，Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Tibetan Plateau Data Ctr, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Tibetan Environm Changes & Land Surface P, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China. ; Zhu, GF (通讯作者)，Lanzhou Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Western Chhias Environm Syst, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0048-9697
EISSN	1879-1026
卷号	821
英文摘要	Integrating the economic values of ecosystem services provided by different land uses into decision analysis is critical to achieving effective environmental management in endorheic basins. However, policymaking often ignores the un-certainty related to the variability of parameters in ecosystem service values. To this end, we identified sensitive pa-rameters in the ecosystem service values under four land uses using the global sensitivity analysis method and quantified the potential monetary outcomes based on the Monte Carlo method. The results indicated that only a few sensitive parameters, such as water yield (Q(i)) and treatment costs per unit of nitrogen (Cost_N), were the primary sources of uncertainty. Therefore, we suggest that improving the precision of sensitive parameters is essential for re-ducing uncertainty in the total ecosystem service value. Additionally, the overall monetary outcomes for cropland ex-hibited negative values and had higher risk and lower benefits than those for forest from the standpoint of ecosystem services. In addition, the nonmarketed service of landscape aesthetic made the monetary outcomes of water bodies higher than those of cropland, yet the value of landscape aesthetic was highly uncertain. Therefore, efforts should be made to improve total monetary outcomes by decreasing the negative values in food provisioning of cropland and the uncertainty in landscape aesthetic for water bodies. The sensitivity analysis and uncertainty analysis provide important guidelines for quantifying and reducing the related uncertainty and provide policy information for environmental management based on a comprehensive consideration of the potential ecosystem service values for various land uses.
关键词	GLOBAL SENSITIVITY-ANALYSIS WATER YIELD SEDIMENT VALUATION MODELS LANDSCAPE CALIBRATION TRADEOFFS SYNERGIES CLIMATE
英文关键词	Economic valuation; Monte Carlo simulation; Global sensitivity analysis; Extended Fourier amplitude sensitivity test; Endorheic basins
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000766809800010
来源期刊	SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
来源机构	中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/255176
作者单位	[Wang, Bei; Zhu, Gao-Feng; Tan, Mei-Bao] Lanzhou Univ, Coll Earth & Environm Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China; [Li, Xin] Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Tibetan Plateau Data Ctr, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Tibetan Environm Changes & Land Surface P, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; [Li, Xin] Chinese Acad Sci, CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; [Ma, Chun-Feng] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources NIEER, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China; [Luan, Wen-Fei] Henan Polytech Univ, Sch Surveying & Land Informat Engn, Jiaozuo 454003, Henan, Peoples R China; [Zhong, Jun-Tao] Qinghai Normal Univ, Coll Geog Sci, Xining 810001, Peoples R China; [Fu, Jing] Shanghai Normal Univ, Inst Urban Study, Shanghai 201234, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Bei,Li, Xin,Ma, Chun-Feng,et al. Uncertainty analysis of ecosystem services and implications for environmental management-An experiment in the Heihe River Basin, China[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2022,821.
APA	Wang, Bei.,Li, Xin.,Ma, Chun-Feng.,Zhu, Gao-Feng.,Luan, Wen-Fei.,...&Fu, Jing.(2022).Uncertainty analysis of ecosystem services and implications for environmental management-An experiment in the Heihe River Basin, China.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,821.
MLA	Wang, Bei,et al."Uncertainty analysis of ecosystem services and implications for environmental management-An experiment in the Heihe River Basin, China".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 821(2022).