气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Premature mortality attributable to PM2.5 pollution in China during 2008-2016: Underlying causes and responses to emission reductions

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DOI	10.1016/j.chemosphere.2020.127925
	Premature mortality attributable to PM2.5 pollution in China during 2008-2016: Underlying causes and responses to emission reductions
	Li, Yong; Liao, Qin; Zhao, Xiuge; Tao, Yan; Bai, Yun; Peng, Lu
通讯作者	Tao, Y (通讯作者)，Lanzhou Univ, Coll Earth & Environm Sci, Key Lab Environm Pollut Predict & Control, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China. ; Bai, Y (通讯作者)，Chongqing Technol & Business Univ, Natl Res Base Intelligent Mfg Serv, Chongqing 400067, Peoples R China.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0045-6535
EISSN	1879-1298
卷号	263
英文摘要	Long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) poses a great threat to public health in China. To this end, the Chinese government promulgated the Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan (the Action Plan) in 2013. However, the health benefits of the Action Plan have not been well explained. In this paper, the underlying causes of changes in premature mortality attributable to PM2.5 pollution and the response of this mitigation policy in China were explored using sensitivity analysis. The simulated annual average PM2.5 concentration reduced by 24.9% over mainland China from 2008 to 2016. Subsequently, national premature mortality would decrease by 14.4% from 1.14 million (95% CI: 0.54, 1.55) in 2008 to 0.98 million (95% CI: 0.44, 1.38) in 2016. Specifically, premature mortality reduced by 209,600 cases (similar to 18.3%) owing to PM2.5 reduction during 2008-2016, of which 188,500 cases were from 2014 to 2016 due to the Action Plan in 2013. Note that the health benefits were limited when compared with air quality improvements, mainly due to that the IER functions have a stable curve at higher concentration intervals. Meanwhile, premature mortality would have increased by 14.2% from 2008 to 2016 owing to demographic changes, substantially weakening the impact of the decrease in PM2.5 and baseline mortality. The effectiveness of China's new air pollution mitigation policy was proved through the research. However, considering the non-linear response of mortality to PM2.5 changes and the aggravation of demography trends, stronger emission control steps should be further taken to protect public health in China. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
关键词	BURDENS CITIES TRENDS
英文关键词	PM2.5 pollution; Premature mortality; Underlying causes; Long-term exposure; China
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:000595802200071
来源期刊	CHEMOSPHERE
来源机构	中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/255148
作者单位	[Li, Yong; Liao, Qin; Zhao, Xiuge; Tao, Yan; Peng, Lu] Lanzhou Univ, Coll Earth & Environm Sci, Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Minist Educ, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China; [Li, Yong; Liao, Qin; Zhao, Xiuge; Tao, Yan; Peng, Lu] Lanzhou Univ, Coll Earth & Environm Sci, Key Lab Environm Pollut Predict & Control, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China; [Liao, Qin] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China; [Zhao, Xiuge] Chinese Res Inst Environm Sci, State Key Lab Environm Criteria & Risk Assessment, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China; [Bai, Yun] Chongqing Technol & Business Univ, Natl Res Base Intelligent Mfg Serv, Chongqing 400067, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Yong,Liao, Qin,Zhao, Xiuge,et al. Premature mortality attributable to PM2.5 pollution in China during 2008-2016: Underlying causes and responses to emission reductions[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2021,263.
APA	Li, Yong,Liao, Qin,Zhao, Xiuge,Tao, Yan,Bai, Yun,&Peng, Lu.(2021).Premature mortality attributable to PM2.5 pollution in China during 2008-2016: Underlying causes and responses to emission reductions.CHEMOSPHERE,263.
MLA	Li, Yong,et al."Premature mortality attributable to PM2.5 pollution in China during 2008-2016: Underlying causes and responses to emission reductions".CHEMOSPHERE 263(2021).