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DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153386 |
Daytime and nighttime warming has no opposite effects on vegetation phenology and productivity in the northern hemisphere | |
Zhu, Gaofeng; Wang, Xufeng; Xiao, Jingfeng; Zhang, Kun; Wang, Yunquan; He, Honglin; Li, Weide; Chen, Huiling | |
通讯作者 | Zhu, GF (通讯作者),Lanzhou Univ, Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Minist Educ, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China. ; Wang, XF (通讯作者),Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Remote Sensing Gansu Prov, Heihe Remote Sensing Expt Res Stn, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China. ; Xiao, JF (通讯作者),Univ New Hampshire, Earth Syst Res Ctr, Inst Study Earth Oceans & Space, Durham, NH 03824 USA. |
发表日期 | 2022 |
ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
卷号 | 822 |
英文摘要 | Over the past 50 years, global land surface air temperature has been rising at a much higher rate at night than during the day. Understanding plant responses to the asymmetric daytime and nighttime warming in the context of climate change has been a hot topic in global change biology and global ecology. It has been debatable whether the asymmetric warming has opposite effects on vegetation activity (e.g., phenology, productivity). Here we settle the debate by scrutinizing the underpinnings of different statistical methods and revealing how the misuse or improper use of these methods could mischaracterize the effects of asymmetric warming with in situ and satellite observations. The use of the ordinary least square (OLS) methods including both daytime (T-max) and nighttime (T-min) temperature in the multiple regression models could overlook the multicollinearity problem and yield the misinterpretations that T-max and T-min had opposite effects on spring phenology, autumn phenology, gross primary production (GPP), and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). However, when the OLS methods were applied with T-max and T-min included in separate models or alternatively the ridge regression (RR) method with properly selected ridge parameter was used, the effects of T-max and T-min on vegetation activity were generally in the same direction. The use of the RR method with improperly selected ridge parameter could also mischaracterize the effects of asymmetric warming. Our findings show that daytime and nighttime warming has no opposite effects on vegetation phenology and productivity in the northern hemisphere, and properly dealing with the multicollinearity problem is critical for understanding the effects of asymmetric warming on vegetation activity. |
关键词 | RIDGE-REGRESSIONCARBONIMPACTSCLIMATERESPIRATIONTEMPERATUREGROWTHRESPONSESTERM |
英文关键词 | Multicollinearity; Spring phenology; Autumn phenology; Asymmetric warming; Vegetation activity; Gross primary production |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000766799600009 |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
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来源机构 | 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院 |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/255040 |
作者单位 | [Zhu, Gaofeng; Chen, Huiling] Lanzhou Univ, Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Minist Educ, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China; [Wang, Xufeng] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Remote Sensing Gansu Prov, Heihe Remote Sensing Expt Res Stn, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China; [Xiao, Jingfeng] Univ New Hampshire, Earth Syst Res Ctr, Inst Study Earth Oceans & Space, Durham, NH 03824 USA; [Zhang, Kun] Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Tibetan Plateau Data Ctr, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Tibetan Environm Changes & Land Surface P, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; [Wang, Yunquan] China Univ Geosci, Sch Environm Studies, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China; [He, Honglin] Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; [Li, Weide] Lanzhou Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhu, Gaofeng,Wang, Xufeng,Xiao, Jingfeng,et al. Daytime and nighttime warming has no opposite effects on vegetation phenology and productivity in the northern hemisphere[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2022,822. |
APA | Zhu, Gaofeng.,Wang, Xufeng.,Xiao, Jingfeng.,Zhang, Kun.,Wang, Yunquan.,...&Chen, Huiling.(2022).Daytime and nighttime warming has no opposite effects on vegetation phenology and productivity in the northern hemisphere.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,822. |
MLA | Zhu, Gaofeng,et al."Daytime and nighttime warming has no opposite effects on vegetation phenology and productivity in the northern hemisphere".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 822(2022). |
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