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DOI10.3389/fpls.2021.830119
Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Potential Distribution of Meconopsis punicea and Its Influence on Ecosystem Services Supply in the Southeastern Margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
Shi, Ning; Naudiyal, Niyati; Wang, Jinniu; Gaire, Narayan Prasad; Wu, Yan; Wei, Yanqiang; He, Jiali; Wang, Chunya
通讯作者Wang, JN (通讯作者),Chinese Acad Sci, Chengdu Inst Biol, Chengdu, Peoples R China. ; Wang, JN (通讯作者),Tibet Ecol Safety Monitor Network, Mangkang Ecol Stn, Chengdu, Peoples R China.
发表日期2022
ISSN1664-462X
卷号12
英文摘要Meconopsis punicea is an iconic ornamental and medicinal plant whose natural habitat has degraded under global climate change, posing a serious threat to the future survival of the species. Therefore, it is critical to analyze the influence of climate change on possible distribution of M. punicea for conservation and sustainable utilization of this species. In this study, we used MaxEnt ecological niche modeling to predict the potential distribution of M. punicea under current and future climate scenarios in the southeastern margin region of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Model projections under current climate show that 16.8% of the study area is suitable habitat for Meconopsis. However, future projections indicate a sharp decline in potential habitat for 2050 and 2070 climate change scenarios. Soil type was the most important environmental variable in determining the habitat suitability of M. punicea, with 27.75% contribution to model output. Temperature seasonality (16.41%), precipitation of warmest quarter (14.01%), and precipitation of wettest month (13.02%), precipitation seasonality (9.41%) and annual temperature range (9.24%) also made significant contributions to model output. The mean elevation of suitable habitat for distribution of M. punicea is also likely to shift upward in most future climate change scenarios. This study provides vital information for the protection and sustainable use of medicinal species like M. punicea in the context of global environmental change. Our findings can aid in developing rational, broad-scale adaptation strategies for conservation and management for ecosystem services, in light of future climate changes.
关键词PREDICTING SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONSSUB-ALPINE FORESTSBIODIVERSITY LOSSVEGETATION DISTRIBUTIONFUTURE DISTRIBUTIONSVASCULAR PLANTSTUNDRA PLANTSLEAF TRAITSLAND-USECONSERVATION
英文关键词Meconopsis punicea; MaxEnt modeling; habitat suitability; ecosystem service; climate change; Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
语种英语
WOS研究方向Plant Sciences
WOS类目Plant Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000750587800001
来源期刊FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE
来源机构中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/254667
作者单位[Shi, Ning; Naudiyal, Niyati; Wang, Jinniu; Wu, Yan; He, Jiali; Wang, Chunya] Chinese Acad Sci, Chengdu Inst Biol, Chengdu, Peoples R China; [Shi, Ning] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Life Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; [Wang, Jinniu] Tibet Ecol Safety Monitor Network, Mangkang Ecol Stn, Chengdu, Peoples R China; [Gaire, Narayan Prasad] Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Trop Forest Ecol, Xishuangbanna Trop Bot Garden XTBG, Mengla, Peoples R China; [Gaire, Narayan Prasad] Tribhuvan Univ, Dept Environm Sci, Patan Multiple Campus, Lalitpur, Nepal; [Wei, Yanqiang] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Lanzhou, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Shi, Ning,Naudiyal, Niyati,Wang, Jinniu,et al. Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Potential Distribution of Meconopsis punicea and Its Influence on Ecosystem Services Supply in the Southeastern Margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2022,12.
APA Shi, Ning.,Naudiyal, Niyati.,Wang, Jinniu.,Gaire, Narayan Prasad.,Wu, Yan.,...&Wang, Chunya.(2022).Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Potential Distribution of Meconopsis punicea and Its Influence on Ecosystem Services Supply in the Southeastern Margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE,12.
MLA Shi, Ning,et al."Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Potential Distribution of Meconopsis punicea and Its Influence on Ecosystem Services Supply in the Southeastern Margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau".FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 12(2022).
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