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DOI	10.1080/02626667.2021.1957474
	Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios
	Adnan, Muhammad; Kang, Shichang; Saifullah, Muhammad; Liu, Shiyin; Zhang, Guoshuai; Zhao, Qiudong; Faiz, Muhammad Abrar; Zaman, Muhammad
通讯作者	Kang, SC (通讯作者)，Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0262-6667
EISSN	2150-3435
起始页码	1712
结束页码	1727
卷号	66 期号:11
英文摘要	This study predicts future variations in simulated water balance components of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios using the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model in conjunction with the degree-day melt (DDM) model coupled with the glacier volume-area scaling law. We deduced that the water balance of Nam Co Lake will increase under all selected representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, but it will become negative from 2073 onward (under RCP8.5). Compared to 1981-2010, from 2011 to 2100, the projected Nam Co Lake levels show an increase at a rate of 0.63, 0.70, and 0.41 m/a under RCP2.6, 4.5, and 8.5, respectively, with an area expansion of 778, 855, and 537 km(2) and a corresponding water volume increase of 155, 17, and 94 km(3), respectively; from 2011 to 2100, the lake area will expand by 38.6%, 42.4%, and 26.6% under RCP2.6, 4.5, and 8.5, respectively.
关键词	CENTRAL TIBETAN PLATEAU LEVEL CHANGES RIVER-BASIN STORAGE VARIATIONS MODEL ALTIMETRY IMPACTS ICESAT PERFORMANCE CATCHMENT
英文关键词	soil and water assessment tool model; degree-day melt model; Nam Co Lake; water balance; representative concentration pathways; Tibetan Plateau
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS记录号	WOS:000693283700001
来源期刊	HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
来源机构	中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/254303
作者单位	[Adnan, Muhammad; Liu, Shiyin] Yunnan Univ, Inst Int Rivers & Ecosecur, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China; [Adnan, Muhammad; Kang, Shichang; Zhao, Qiudong] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China; [Adnan, Muhammad; Kang, Shichang] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; [Kang, Shichang] CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; [Saifullah, Muhammad] Muhammad Nawaz Shareef Univ Agr, Dept Agr Engn, Multan, Pakistan; [Zhang, Guoshuai] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Tibetan Environm Changes & Land Surface P, Beijing, Peoples R China; [Zhao, Qiudong] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Ecohydrol Inland River Basin, Lanzhou, Peoples R China; [Faiz, Muhammad Abrar] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China; [Zaman, Muhammad] Univ Agr Faisalabad, Dept Irrigat & Dra...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Adnan, Muhammad,Kang, Shichang,Saifullah, Muhammad,et al. Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2021,66(11).
APA	Adnan, Muhammad.,Kang, Shichang.,Saifullah, Muhammad.,Liu, Shiyin.,Zhang, Guoshuai.,...&Zaman, Muhammad.(2021).Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios.HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,66(11).
MLA	Adnan, Muhammad,et al."Prediction of changes in water balance of Nam Co Lake under projected climate change scenarios".HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES 66.11(2021).